Dodgers vs Mets Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [8/6/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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LA Dodgers (78-32) at NY Mets (49-59)
When: Sunday, April 1st 2017
Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -167/9

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The amazing Los Angeles Dodgers go for another series sweep when they take on the New York Mets on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball from Citi Field in New York. The Mets are not alone in not being able to solve the Dodgers this season, dropping to 0-6 after yesterday’s 7-4 loss to visiting Los Angeles. The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 overall and 43 of their last 50. That marks the best 50-game stretch since the New York Giants also went 43-7 in 1912. The Mets had an early 3-0 lead in Saturday’s contest and were no-hitting the Dodgers for 4.2 innings before L.A. exploded with five home runs en route to a victory. Corey Seager (19), Justin Turner (12), Cody Bellinger (31), Yasiel Puig (21), and Chris Tayler (15) all went deep for a Dodgers team that is fourth in the Majors with 161 dingers. They have eight home runs in the series and 23 in the six games against the Mets this season. Look for the Dodgers to rest catcher Yasmani Grandal on Sunday after he left Saturday’s game with back spasms. The Mets have lost three straight and six of their last seven to fall 13 games out of the NL Wild Card spot. Michael Conforto hit one of New York’s four home runs Saturday and is 14-for-40 with three homers during a nine-game hitting streak.

Pitchers: Dodgers – Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-6, 3.83 ERA) | Mets – Steven Matz (2-4, 5.50)

Hyun-Jin Ryu may have six losses on the season, but still has an ERA under four and has not allowed more than two runs in his last five starts, posting a 2.60 ERA over that stretch. Ryu struck out seven over seven scoreless innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants last Sunday and will look to repeat that effort and get more run support this time around. The South Korean native is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in four starts against the Mets, and he limited them to two runs over five innings in a no-decision June 22nd at Dodger Stadium.

Steven Matz could really use a good outing. He has been terrible lately, posting an 11.78 ERA over his last five winless starts. Matz did hold the Colorado Rockies to three runs in five innings at Coors Field last time out, but he didn’t get a decision. Matz is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers, and he allowed three runs in six innings of a no-decision at Los Angeles on against Ryu June 22nd.

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I can’t give you any reason to go against the Dodgers right now, especially with a struggling Matz on the mound for New York. This is actually a pretty generous line and I’m taking the runline as the Dodgers should win this game easily.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +100

W/L TRENDS

LA Dodgers
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 29-10 in their last 39 vs. National League East.
  • Dodgers are 38-14 in their last 52 overall.
  • Dodgers are 38-14 in their last 52 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
  • Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
  • Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games.
  • Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. National League West.
  • Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

OU TRENDS

LA Dodgers
  • Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League East.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 Sunday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 19-6-1 in Dodgers last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 road games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 on grass.
NY Mets
  • Over is 9-1-1 in Mets last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 15-4-3 in Mets last 22 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 24-9-5 in Mets last 38 home games.
  • Over is 21-8-3 in Mets last 32 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 46-20-10 in Mets last 76 overall.
  • Over is 46-20-10 in Mets last 76 on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings in New York.
  • Dodgers are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in New York.

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