Arizona (25-22) at San Diego (23-24)
When: Monday, May 20th, 2019
Where: Petco Park,
San Diego, CA
Time: 10:10 ET | TV: FS Arizona,
FS San Diego
Opening Odds: San Diego -148/7
Two National League West foes, who are coming off rough weekends, will battle Monday night at Petco Park as the Arizona Diamondbacks visit the San Diego Padres. Arizona couldn’t gather any momentum before embarking on their 10-game road trip after dropping two of three at home over the weekend to last place San Francisco. The top of the D’Backs lineup – Adam Jones, Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar – went a combined 0-for-15 in Sunday’s loss and now must face one of the bright young hurlers in the majors in San Diego’s Chris Paddack. The Diamondbacks mustered just three hits in Sunday’s 10-inning, 3-2 setback but still sit second in the division, 5.5 games behind the L.A. Dodgers. San Diego has been in a bit of a tailspin after their encouraging 11-5 start, dropping seven of their last nine including three of four over the weekend to the Pittsburgh Pirates at home. Hunter Renfroe blasted a three-run homer in Sunday’s 6-4 loss, but the Padres fell to 7-12 without rookie star Fernando Tatis Jr. Arizona will send out righty Luke Weaver to oppose Paddack.
Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) | Padres – Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99)
Paddack will get all the pub in this matchup, but don’t sleep on Luke Weaver. The former St. Louis Cardinal has been on fire lately, tossing three straight quality starts with an ERA of 2.25 and 19 strikeout over that span (20 innings). Weaver has allowed two earned runs or less in four of his last six starts including a 2-1 loss to Paddack and the Padres back on April 12th. Weaver, who is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA in four career starts versus San Diego, is 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three road outings.
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Paddack is coming off his worst outing in this his rookie season, allowing six runs – three earned – in 4.2 innings at the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday. It was the first time he had allowed more than three runs in a game after surrendering two runs or less in six of his first seven big league outings. Paddack has compiled 49 strikeouts and just 11 walks in 45.1 innings this season.
Both teams are struggling at the plate and neither team hits righties very well either. These pitchers matched-up earlier in the season in Phoenix and it ended in a 2-1 game. I can see a similar low-scoring affair in this one in a pitcher-friendly park. All four of Paddack’s home starts have gone under.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 64-40 +1864 units on the season after a 14-2 run!
Pick: UNDER 7.5 -120
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BETTING TRENDS:
Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 Monday games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Padres are 6-14 in their last 20 Monday games.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. National League West.
Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 6-1 in Paddack’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Padres are 6-2 in Paddack’s last 8 starts.
Padres are 6-2 in Paddack’s last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 Monday games.
Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
Over is 14-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 12-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 17 vs. National League West.
Over is 11-4 in Diamondbacks last 15 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 16-6-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 games following a loss.
Over is 20-8 in Diamondbacks last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-5 in Diamondbacks last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Weaver’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Weaver’s last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Weaver’s last 8 starts overall.
Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Padres last 8 Monday games.
Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
Under is 16-7-2 in Padres last 25 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 9-4 in Padres last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-0 in Paddack’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Paddack’s last 4 home starts.
Under is 5-1 in Paddack’s last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Paddack’s last 6 starts overall.
Diamondbacks are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in San Diego.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
