Arizona (29-19) at Milwaukee (25-21)
When: Thursday, May 25th 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FSN Arizona, FSN Wisconsin
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The Arizona Diamondbacks are off to a great start this season, but a home-heavy schedule has helped. Arizona is off to a 21-8 start at home, but will take to the road for the next 11 games beginning with the opener of a four-game set with the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday night. Arizona scored 20 runs in a weekend series at San Diego last weekend to bring their road average up to 3.6 runs per game, but that is compared to 6.0 at home. Arizona (29-19) completed a sweep of the Chicago White Sox with an 8-6 victory while Milwaukee (25-21), which had won 10 of 12 before their current three-game losing skid, lost to Toronto 8-4 on Wednesday afternoon. The Brewers’ Ryan Braun (.265 batting average, seven home runs, 19 RBIs in 29 games) did not play Wednesday – a planned day off according to manager Craig Counsell – after going 0-for-8 in two games since missing nine contests because of a strained calf. Diamondbacks outfielder Yasmany Tomas (.261, eight homers, 31 RBIs in 41 games) was a late scratch Wednesday because of tightness in his left hip flexor and is day-to-day. Arizona could be think at the outfield position as A.J. Pollock (strained right groin) is eligible to come off the 10-day disabled list Friday, but will not accompany the team to Milwaukee. Brewers SS Eric Sogard went 0-for-3 with a walk Wednesday after going 11-for-22 with two home runs, seven RBIs and three doubles in his first nine games with Milwaukee.
Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Robbie Ray (3-3, 3.91 ERA) | Brewers – Zach Davies (5-2, 5.44)
Robbie Ray has been a bright spot when Arizona his the road this season, going 2-1 with a 1.03 ERA in four road starts this season. Ray earned a victory last time out when he allowed two hits and three walks while striking out six in 7.2 shutout innings of a 9-1 victory at San Diego on Saturday. Ray was 0-3 with a 5.81 ERA in his previous four starts, walking 12 in 21.2 innings. He lost his only career start against Milwaukee, allowing five runs in 5.2 innings and striking out 11 in a 6-4 setback last season.
Zach Davies, who has won his last five starts, allowed two runs, five hits and two walks while striking out three in a season-high six innings of a 4-2 victory in San Diego on May 18th. Davies, who had not pitched more than 5.2 innings this season, owns a .309 batting average against and a 1.66 WHIP while allowing 58 hits over 46.1 innings in 2017. Davies defeated Arizona 6-4 last season when he allowed three runs (two earned) and struck out five in 6.1 innings.
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Just because Arizona is hitting the road, doesn’t mean they’re going to start losing again. This is a team that is gaining confidence each week and will be a threat in the NL West all season. Davies might be 5-2, but his stats are terrible. Look for the Diamondbacks to chase him early.
Pick: Diamondbacks -105
W/L TRENDS
| Arizona |
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Diamondbacks are 30-67 in their last 97 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 10-21 in Rays last 31 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 8-19 in Rays last 27 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Rays last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Rays last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Rays last 5 starts.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Rays last 5 starts on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Rays last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 1-6 in Rays last 7 Thursday starts.
- Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Rays last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
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| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 17-7 in their last 24 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Davies’ last 6 starts.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Davies’ last 6 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 2-6 in Davies’ last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Davies’ last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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OU TRENDS
| Arizona |
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 Thursday games.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 23-8 in Diamondbacks last 31 road games.
- Under is 19-7-2 in Diamondbacks last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 27-11-1 in Diamondbacks last 39 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 41-18-3 in Diamondbacks last 62 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-2 in Rays last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-4 in Rays last 14 road starts.
|
| Milwaukee |
- Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-2 in Brewers last 11 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 16-5 in Brewers last 21 home games.
- Over is 16-5-1 in Brewers last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 23-9-1 in Brewers last 33 overall.
- Over is 23-9-1 in Brewers last 33 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 Thursday games.
- Over is 5-0 in Davies’ last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-3-1 in Davies’ last 17 starts on grass.
- Over is 13-3-1 in Davies’ last 17 starts overall.
- Over is 13-3 in Davies’ last 16 home starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 Thursday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
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