Arizona (25-21) at Milwaukee (28-19)
When: Monday, May 21st 2018
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 7:40 ET | TV: FS Arizona, FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -110/8.5
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers are a pair of first place teams who are trending in opposite directions. The two will begin a three-game series Monday night in Miller Park as Arizona ace Zack Greinke takes on Chase Anderson. The D’Backs stormed out of the gates this season, but have seen their offense go cold while losing 10 of their last 11 games, scoring just 22 runs in that stretch. Arizona is coming off being swept three games by the New York Mets to kick off their nine-game road trip to fall to 11-9 on the road after winning 10 of their first 14 away from home. The Diamondbacks’ only win in their last 11 games was a 2-1 home win over Milwaukee last Tuesday, when Greinke allowed one run over six innings in a no-decision. Milwaukee, which leads the NL Central, was unable to complete a three-game sweep of Minnesota over the weekend as it fell 3-1 in Sunday’s finale but still has won seven of its last 10 overall. First baseman Jesus Aguilar has been riding a hot stick for the Brewers, blasting four homers and knocking in six runs over his last three games while hitting safely in five straight (8-for-19). Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 36-for-79 with 10 doubles, seven homers and 20 RBIs in 20 career games at Miller Park, but is having a terrible season thus far. The former All-Star is hitting .205 and has knocked in only 13 runs all season – fifth on the team – and is second to Texas’ Joey Gallo with 61 strikeouts.
Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (3-2, 3.46 ERA) | Brewers – Chase Anderson (3-3, 3.97)
Greinke has allowed fewer than two runs in each of the last three starts – a stretch during which he did not receive a decision while surrendering 13 hits over 18.2 innings. He boasts four quality starts over his last six outings and recorded 58 strikeouts while issuing only seven walks in 54.2 innings this season. Greinke is 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against Milwaukee.
Anderson has been on a break battling an illness for two weeks and is seeking his fourth win in six outings. Anderson was roughed up by the Reds and Pirates in his last two starts, but was brilliant against the Cubs in his previous turn, allowing just one run in seven innings. He is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four career games versus Arizona.
I can’t take the Diamondbacks as long as they’re not hitting despite their ace on the mound. Milwaukee is coming off a very successful road trip and will keep the momentum going on Monday.
Pick: Brewers +115
BETTING TRENDS:
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a loss.
- Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 14-3 in Greinke’s last 17 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 12-3 in Greinke’s last 15 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 21-7 in Greinke’s last 28 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Greinke’s last 8 Monday starts.
- Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts.
- Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 27-11 in Greinke’s last 38 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Greinke’s last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 15-7 in Greinke’s last 22 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
- Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 Monday games.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 9-4 in Anderson’s last 13 starts.
- Brewers are 9-4 in Anderson’s last 13 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 12-4 in Diamondbacks last 16 road games.
- Under is 9-3 in Diamondbacks last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 games following a loss.
- Under is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Greinke’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Greinke’s last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 15-6-2 in Greinke’s last 23 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 Monday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Brewers last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 38-12-2 in Brewers last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 45-15-1 in Brewers last 61 games following a loss.
- Under is 15-5 in Brewers last 20 vs. National League West.
- Under is 66-27-4 in Brewers last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 34-14-3 in Brewers last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 35-15-4 in Brewers last 54 home games.
- Under is 36-17-2 in Brewers last 55 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Anderson’s last 11 starts on grass.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Anderson’s last 11 starts overall.
- Under is 16-5 in Anderson’s last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2-2 in Anderson’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts vs. National League West.
