Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/7/19]

Arizona (31-32) at Toronto (23-39)
When: Friday, June 7th, 2019
Where: Rogers Center,
Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:07 ET | TV: Sportsnet 1,
FS Arizona
Opening Odds: Toronto -145/9


The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to begin a 10-game road trip and come east with a little momentum after avoiding a three-game sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday. The trek will begin in Toronto on Friday in the opener of a three-game interleague series with the Blue Jays as rookie Merrill Kelly opposes veteran righty Marcus Stroman. David Peralta collected two RBI in Arizona’s 3-2 win over the Dodgers Wednesday, including the walk-off single in the 11th inning. The Diamondbacks have dropped 12 of their last 18 overall but still reside just 2.5 games out of a very crowded NL Wild Card race. Adam Jones, who is 9-for-25 with four RBIs from his time with Baltimore against Stroman, left Tuesday’s game with a hamstring injury and did not play Wednesday but could be back in the lineup Friday. Toronto won the first two games this week against the New York Yankees as big underdogs, but couldn’t complete the sweep Thursday with a 6-2 setback. The Blue Jays, who are 10 games out of an AL Wild Card spot, have seen outfielder Randal Grichuk go 5-for-12 with three home runs, four RBIs and four runs scored in his last three games. Rookie phenom Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.248) had his six-game hitting streak come to an end Thursday after going hitless in four at-bats.

Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Merrill Kelly (5-6, 4.41 ERA) | Blue Jays – Marcus Stroman (3-7, 2.84)

Kelly is coming off the best performance of his young career when he allowed one run (homer) and six hits while striking out 10 over 7.2 innings of a 7-1 victory at home over the New York Mets on Sunday. That improved the rookie to 3-2 with a 2.35 ERA at home, but the road has been unkind to him. Kelly owns a 2-4 mark and 7.14 ERA in six away starts and will be facing Toronto for the first time.

The Blue Jays and Diamondbacks last met in 2016 with Toronto taking three of four.


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Stroman is coming off his longest outing since the end of April but allowed four runs (three earned) and seven hits in seven innings of a 4-2 loss at Colorado on Saturday. He had allowed three earned runs total over his previous three starts covering 17 innings and received 10 runs of support in two of those outings – something he hasn’t been getting much of this year. The Blue Jays score just 3.8 runs a game when Stroman starts and are 4-9 in those games despite him owning a sub-3.00 ERA. Stroman yielded one run in eight innings of a 10-4 victory in 2016 in his only appearance versus the D’Backs.

The Blue Jays have the pitching edge in this one, but still have a hard time winning when Stroman takes the mound. Toronto is just not a good team and even though the D’Backs are struggling, they’re still a game over .500 on the road and are 12-8 in series openers, while the Blue Jays are just 8-12.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 74-47 +2017 units on the season after a 24-9 run!

Pick: Diamondbacks +132


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BETTING TRENDS:

Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 games following an off day.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 13-4 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last 14 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Diamondbacks are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games on astroturf.
Diamondbacks are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 7-19 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Kelly’s last 5 road starts.

Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 Friday games.
Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 home games.
Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Blue Jays are 8-20 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Jays are 5-13 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 9-25 in their last 34 overall.
Blue Jays are 5-14 in their last 19 games on astroturf.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games.
Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.
Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 Friday starts.
Blue Jays are 11-5 in Stroman’s last 16 interleague starts.
Blue Jays are 13-6 in Stroman’s last 19 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 3-7 in Stroman’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 3-7 in Stroman’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Jays are 4-11 in Stroman’s last 15 starts.
Blue Jays are 2-6 in Stroman’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stroman’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 41-15-1 in Diamondbacks last 57 games following an off day.
Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 on astroturf.
Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 games following a win.
Under is 7-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. American League East.
Under is 3-0-1 in Kelly’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0 in Kelly’s last 4 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Kelly’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Kelly’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague home games.
Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games following a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 7-2-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Blue Jays last 5 on astroturf.
Under is 5-2-1 in Blue Jays last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 25-10-2 in Blue Jays last 37 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 21-10 in Blue Jays last 31 interleague games.
Under is 6-0 in Stroman’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 interleague starts.
Over is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 22-7-3 in Stroman’s last 32 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-6-2 in Stroman’s last 26 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Stroman’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Stroman’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

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