Chicago Cubs (45-38) at Cincinnati (37-43)
When: Sunday, June 30th, 2019
Where: Great American Ballpark,
Cincinnati, Ohio
Time: 1:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Chicago -105/10
The Chicago Cubs haven’t played particularly well on the road this season, but put forth an all-around effort Saturday and go for a series win at the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday afternoon. Javier Baez broke open a 1-0 game in the eighth inning Saturday with his fifth career grand slam in Chicago’s 6-0 win in Cincinnati to improve to 16-22 away from home and keep their slim lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. The Cubs received six shutout innings from Jose Quintana and will now turn to Jon Lester in the rubber match against Anthony DeSclafani. Jason Heyward homered for the second time in the series and has driven in seven runs during a four-game RBI streak for the Cubs, who won for just the second time in the past seven meetings with the Reds. Cincinnati fell for the fifth time in six games and got two hits from Joey Votto, who is 10-for-18 over his last five games. Second baseman Scooter Gennett, who made his season debut Friday after recovering from a groin injury sustained in spring training, is 1-for-8 in his first two games, as the Reds remained five games out of a wild card spot and 6.5 games behind Chicago in the division.
Pitchers: Cubs – Jon Lester (7-5, 3.83 ERA) | Reds – Anthony DeSclafani (4-4, 4.70)
Lester hopes to continue his June resurgence by closing out the month with his fifth win against just one loss. He’s coming off a solid outing against Atlanta in which he allowed two runs (zero earned) and five hits while striking out seven over six innings on Monday. He has allowed seven home runs in his last four starts, but kept the ball in the yard Monday. Lester, who is 7-1 with and 3.88 ERA in 16 starts against Cincinnati, has a 5.82 ERA in six road starts this season.
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DeSclafani’s three-start unbeaten streak came to a screeching halt last time out when he was tagged for six runs and eight hits over 4.1 innings in the 7-5 loss at Milwaukee. He had allowed one run in each of his previous three starts and did not surrender a home run in that stretch. DeSclafani received a no-decision earlier this season against the Cubs when he gave up four runs – three homers – in 3.2 innings of a 6-5 Cincinnati win.
Lester has not been good on the road this year, but always seems to pitch his best against the Reds. The Cubs are 14-2 in his 16 starts against Cincinnati and if Quintana can shut down the Reds, so can Lester. Look for the Cubs to earn the series win on Sunday afternoon.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 85-58 +1753 units on the season after a 5-2 run!
Pick: Cubs -117
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BETTING TRENDS:
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 Sunday games.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.
Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win.
Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 7-1 in Lester’s last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 6-1 in Lester’s last 7 Sunday starts.
Cubs are 42-10 in Lester’s last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 4-1 in Lester’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cubs are 4-1 in Lester’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cubs are 18-5 in Lester’s last 23 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 38-13 in Lester’s last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 38-14 in Lester’s last 52 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 41-18 in Lester’s last 59 starts vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 38-17 in Lester’s last 55 starts on grass.
Cubs are 38-18 in Lester’s last 56 starts.
Cubs are 1-4 in Lester’s last 5 road starts.
Cubs are 1-4 in Lester’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-4 in Lester’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 42-88 in their last 130 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Reds are 7-19 in their last 26 Sunday games.
Reds are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Reds are 2-6 in DeSclafani’s last 8 home starts.
Reds are 2-8 in DeSclafani’s last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
Reds are 1-4 in DeSclafani’s last 5 Sunday starts.
Reds are 1-5 in DeSclafani’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 Sunday games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
Under is 6-1-2 in Cubs last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 12-2-2 in Lester’s last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Lester’s last 6 Sunday starts.
Over is 5-1 in Lester’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Lester’s last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 5-1-1 in Lester’s last 7 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Lester’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-2-1 in Lester’s last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 18-6-2 in Lester’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 18-7-1 in Lester’s last 26 road starts.
Over is 10-4 in Lester’s last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 5-2 in Lester’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-2 in Lester’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Lester’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 9-2 in Reds last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 23-6 in Reds last 29 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 11-3-1 in Reds last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 Sunday games.
Under is 18-7-2 in Reds last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 41-17-3 in Reds last 61 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-16-1 in Reds last 54 games following a loss.
Under is 65-29-3 in Reds last 97 overall.
Under is 65-29-3 in Reds last 97 on grass.
Under is 35-16 in Reds last 51 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 36-17 in Reds last 53 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in DeSclafani’s last 6 Sunday starts.
Over is 7-1 in DeSclafani’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in DeSclafani’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 6-2 in DeSclafani’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in DeSclafani’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-0-2 in Lester’s last 7 road starts vs. Reds.
Cubs are 14-2 in Lester’s last 16 starts vs. Reds.
Cubs are 6-1 in Lester’s last 7 road starts vs. Reds.
Over is 6-1-1 in Lester’s last 8 starts vs. Reds.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cubs are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
Cubs are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.
