Chicago Cubs (56-49) at St Louis (56-49)
When: Tuesday, July 30th, 2019
Where: Busch Stadium,
St Louis, Missouri
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: St Louis -115/9
The Chicago Cubs have a huge week ahead of them in the race for the National League Central title with the rival St. Louis Cardinals up first on Tuesday night. Chicago has been scuffling, losing five of their last seven but are coming off an 11-4 at Milwaukee on Sunday to stay tied with the Cardinals for first, while the Brewers are just a game back. The Cubs will host Milwaukee later this weekend after they finish their nine-game road trip in St. Louis. Kyle Schwarber knocked-in a career-high seven runs on Sunday with a pair of home runs to help the Cubs score more than four runs in a game since July 21st. The Cardinals won six in a row before dropping the last two games this past weekend at home to Houston when they managed just four runs in those losses. First baseman Paul Goldschmidt’s home run streak ended at six games in Sunday’s loss but he kept alive a seven-game hitting streak, during which he’s batting .345 with 13 RBI. The home team has won all nine matchups this year, with Chicago picking up the most recent three-game sweep at Wrigley Field last month. Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright will oppose Yu Darvish in the series opener at Busch Stadium.
Pitchers: Cubs – Yu Darvish (3-4, 4.54 ERA) | Cardinals – Adam Wainwright (7-7, 4.63)
Darvish has been very inconsistent this season and followed up a pair of scoreless outings with a dud in San Francisco last Tuesday. He shutout the Pirates and Reds for six innings each then was tagged for four runs and six hits in a 5-4 loss at the Giants. Darvish allowed one run and three hits in six innings in his only prior start at Busch Stadium earlier in the year and five runs in four innings against them at Wrigley Field a month earlier.
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Wainwright followed up a seven-inning scoreless outing at home against Arizona by getting rocked in his next two road starts for 11 runs and 14 hits over 8.1 innings against Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, but the offense bailed him out with 12-11 and 14-8 victories respectively. Wainwright shut out the Cubs at home on June 2nd, allowing two hits, but walking seven, then allowed three runs and seven hits over 4.1 innings at Wrigley Field in his next outing. He is 16-12 with a 4.06 ERA in 48 career games (39 starts) versus Chicago.
This season series is all about the home team thus far, but I’m taking the Cardinals more for their recent play as compared to Chicago’s. St. Louis had a tough weekend against the Astros, but that is a World Series-caliber team. The Cubs aren’t playing like that right now.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 98-71 +1563 units on the season!
Pick: Cardinals +103
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BETTING TRENDS:
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 games following an off day.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 7-15 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 7-16 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cubs are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 1-5 in Darvish’s last 6 road starts.
Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 12-4 in their last 16 overall.
Cardinals are 12-4 in their last 16 games on grass.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 28-59 in their last 87 games following an off day.
Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 14-6 in Wainwright’s last 20 Tuesday starts.
Cardinals are 45-20 in Wainwright’s last 65 home starts.
Cardinals are 40-18 in Wainwright’s last 58 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 40-19 in Wainwright’s last 59 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 45-22 in Wainwright’s last 67 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 41-20 in Wainwright’s last 61 starts vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 2-5 in Wainwright’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 2-5 in Wainwright’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cardinals are 1-4 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cardinals are 1-4 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 games following an off day.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games following a win.
Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-2-1 in Cubs last 12 overall.
Under is 9-2-1 in Cubs last 12 on grass.
Under is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 Tuesday games.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 12-3-2 in Cubs last 17 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cubs last 8 road games.
Under is 6-1 in Darvish’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Darvish’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Darvish’s last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Darvish’s last 8 starts overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 games following an off day.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 20-6 in Cardinals last 26 home games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 Tuesday games.
Under is 18-6-2 in Cardinals last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 games following a loss.
Under is 20-7 in Cardinals last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 12-5-1 in Cardinals last 18 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 13-3-1 in Wainwright’s last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Wainwright’s last 9 home starts.
Under is 21-8-3 in Wainwright’s last 32 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Wainwright’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Wainwright’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wainwright’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-4-3 in Wainwright’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 home starts vs. Cubs.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in St. Louis.
Cardinals are 6-1 in Wainwright’s last 7 home starts vs. Cubs.
Under is 8-3-1 in Wainwright’s last 12 starts vs. Cubs.
Cubs are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Cubs are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in St. Louis.
