Dallas (1-0) at Denver (1-0)
When: Sunday, September 17th 2017
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Dallas -1.5/43
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Maybe the best game of the weekend takes place in the Mile High City as the Denver Broncos host the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 action on Sunday afternoon. Both teams are coming off Primetime Week 1 victories with Dallas getting an easy home win over the New York Giants 19-3, while the Broncos held off a late L.A. Chargers rally for a 24-21 Monday night victory. Denver limited Chargers’ running back Melvin Gordon to just 54 rushing yards in Monday’s 24-21 win, but will get a huge test on Sunday from Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas’ superior offensive line. Denver does not have a solid No. 1 back like Dallas, so they spread the ball with C.J. Anderson (20 carries, 81 yards in Week 1) and Jamaal Charles (10 carries, 40 yards) in Week 1. Former Cowboys and Broncos LB DeMarcus Ware, who retired in January, will be honored at halftime. Denver has won and covered four of the last five meetings between these two with the last coming in 2014.
Dallas’ potent rushing game definitely takes pressure off of QB Dak Prescott, who passed for 268 yards and a touchdown last week against the Giants. Tight end Jason Witten hauled-in a 12-yard touchdown pass last week and will move past Ed “Too Tall” Jones by playing in his 225th career game as a Cowboy this Sunday. Prescott’s top target, Dez Bryant, was limited to just two receptions in the opener, but he erupted for six catches for 141 yards and two touchdowns in the 2014 game with Denver. Defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence eclipsed last season’s sack total of one by recording two of his team’s three last week. Dallas’ dominating effort against the Giants makes them the No. 4 offense and No. 7 defense overall in the league after one week. The Cowboys will play next Monday night at Arizona.
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Von Miller is the unquestioned leader on the defensive side and maybe the whole team, but has yet to register a sack in his last five games. The Super Bowl 50 MVP has plenty of help, however, from a terrific run defense that will look to slow Elliott. Quarterback Trevor Siemian was solid on Monday night, spreading the ball around the field and finishing with two touchdowns and running for another. Demaryius Thomas led team in both catches (five) and receiving yards (67) against Los Angeles, but it was Bennie Fowler III who caught both of Siemian’s touchdowns. Denver, who is now 5-0 including the preseason, will travel to Buffalo next week before a big home date with the Oakland Raiders.
Most of the public is on Dallas in this one and I know why. When you get a line at -2.5 with a good team, people tend to take it. You can’t be afraid to take the +2.5, because you can always buy a half point to 3. Denver’s run defense will come up big today and force Prescott to beat them. Denver will also pick off a pass or two and Siemian will lead them to victory.
Pick: Broncos +2.5
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 2.
- Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Cowboys are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
- Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Cowboys are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cowboys are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Broncos are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Broncos are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Broncos are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.
- Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Broncos are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
- Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Broncos are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 10-2 in Cowboys last 12 games on grass.
- Under is 14-3 in Cowboys last 17 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games in Week 2.
- Over is 25-8-3 in Cowboys last 36 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 13-5 in Cowboys last 18 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 35-16-3 in Cowboys last 54 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in September.
- Over is 10-1 in Broncos last 11 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
- Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games in Week 2.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
