Cavaliers vs Warriors Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [Game 5]

Cleveland (1-3) at Golden State (3-1)
When: Monday, June 12th 2017
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Golden State -8.5/230.5

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No team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, but the Cleveland Cavaliers took the first step on Friday night with an emphatic win in Game 4 and will now try and win a game on the road in order to get back home. They broke the Golden State Warriors’ 15-game postseason winning streak and prevented them from becoming the first 16-0 team in NBA history. LeBron James recorded another triple-double and Kyrie Irving scored 40 points as the Cavaliers broke scoring records en route to a 137-116 thumping of the Warriors. Kevin Love continued his strong play with 23 points including 6-of-8 from 3-point land as the Cavs hit 24 three-pointers in the victory. The game was filled with technical fouls in the second half including James jawing with Kevin Durant. It was James’ ninth Finals triple-double, which breaks the record previously held by Magic Johnson. No team had ever rallied from a 3-1 Finals deficit until last year’s Cavaliers team and we’re at the same point this season. As the final seconds ticked off, Cleveland fans chanted “Cavs in 7.” Cleveland will come into this game as big underdogs again, with the total set at an NBA Playoff record 230.5. Cleveland has covered seven of their past ten road games with one push.

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Durant, still one win from the coveted championship he left Oklahoma City to get, scored 35 points, but got little help from Stephen Curry, who scored 14 on 4-of-13 shooting. The Warriors had swept their first three series and were 48 minutes away from a party they’ve been planning since last June, but it will have to wait as Golden State fans hold their breathe. Coach Steve Kerr said his players aren’t worried about what happened last year. “I don’t think there was any concern or thoughts about history,” Kerr said. “I think it was we played a desperate team on their home floor, a great team, with great players, and they came out and handed it to us. Simple as that.” The Warriors surrendered a Finals record 86 first half points to Cleveland on Friday and made a few runs, but never really threatened in the second half. They shot an uncharacteristic 28.2% from beyond the arc in Game 4, but Klay Thompson hit 4-of-10 to continue his resurgence from a poor postseason start. At one point, it was announced that Draymond Green had received his second technical foul, which is an automatic ejection, but after further review, the first technical called on him was actually on coach Kerr, leading to the confusion.

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Cleveland certainly hasn’t given-up, and though it will be tough to win the next three games, I do believe they’ll compete and hang around on Monday. They have too much pride and they really have nothing to lose at this point. Nobody is giving them a chance to win this series. If they can pull of this win tonight, things will get very interesting.

Pick: Cavaliers +8.5

ATS TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Cavaliers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cavaliers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Cavaliers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 Monday games.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.
Golden State
  • Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
  • Warriors are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
  • Warriors are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
  • Warriors are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Over is 20-7 in Cavaliers last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 13-5 in Cavaliers last 18 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 10-4 in Cavaliers last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 28-12-1 in Cavaliers last 41 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 32-15-1 in Cavaliers last 48 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 39-19-1 in Cavaliers last 59 overall.
Golden State
  • Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 11-1 in Warriors last 12 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 8-1 in Warriors last 9 overall.
  • Over is 8-1 in Warriors last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 16-5 in Warriors last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-3-1 in Warriors last 13 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 24-9 in Warriors last 33 games following a ATS loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.
  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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