St Louis (48-46) at Cincinnati (43-50)
When: Thursday, July 18th, 2019
Where: Great American Ballpark,
Cincinnati, Ohio
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Cincinnati -120/9.5
The Cincinnati Reds had a big chance to cut into the Chicago Cubs’ lead in the National League Central this week but dropped two of three to fall 7.5 games out. They will now play 10 of their next 13 games at home beginning with the opener of a four-game series Thursday night against division rival St. Louis. The Reds might be turning into sellers leading up to the July 31st trade deadline, but are also just five games out of a wild card spot in the crowded National League. Cincinnati won the opener in Chicago, but lost the next two including a 5-2 loss Wednesday in which an eighth-inning rally fell short. Cincinnati will face division foes Milwaukee and Pittsburgh leading up to the trade deadline in addition to the Cardinals. St. Louis is off to a 4-2 start since the All-Star Break and took two of three at home from the Pirates to pull two games over .500 (48-46) but now faces eight games on the road at Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. The Cardinals sit three games back of the Cubs and only a half-game out of a wild card spot. St. Louis OF Tyler O’Neill is 10-for-20 with four home runs and 11 RBI in his last five games.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (8-4, 3.48 ERA) | Reds – Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.99)
Dakota Hudson will get the start for St. Louis on Thursday and is coming off his eighth victory of the season last time out when he limited the Arizona Diamondbacks to two runs on three hits and four walks over six innings. Hudson went seven consecutive starts without allowing a home run but surrendered a total of five in his last four outings. He is 2-0 in two starts against Cincinnati this season, allowing a total of four runs and 12 hits in 12 innings.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Tanner Roark had three straight solid outings to end June but has been hit hard in his two July starts including at Colorado last time out. The Rockies tagged him for seven runs on 13 hits on Saturday while surrendering three home runs. The Brewers scored four off him in 6.2 innings in his previous outing and he surrendered three dingers in that contest as well. Roark received a no-decision in his only outing against St. Louis this season when he allowed one run and six hits over 5.1 innings on April 13th.
Roark has looked terrible in his last two starts and has not enjoyed a lot of success against the Cardinals in his career. Hudson has won both of his starts against the Reds this season and should be able to make it number three on Thursday.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Thursday. He is 93-64 +1883 units on the season after a 7-3 run!
Pick: Cardinals +112
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BETTING TRENDS:
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cardinals are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cardinals are 6-15 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 6-0 in Hudson’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Hudson’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 5-0 in Hudson’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-1 in Hudson’s last 10 starts.
Cardinals are 9-1 in Hudson’s last 10 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 7-1 in Hudson’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cardinals are 5-1 in Hudson’s last 6 road starts.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Reds are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Reds are 5-12 in their last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Reds are 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 6-2 in Roark’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 5-2 in Roark’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Reds are 1-4 in Roark’s last 5 home starts.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
Under is 11-3-1 in Cardinals last 15 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 vs. National League Central.
Under is 9-3-1 in Cardinals last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 35-16-2 in Cardinals last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0-1 in Hudson’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Hudson’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 5-2-1 in Hudson’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Hudson’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Hudson’s last 10 starts on grass.
Under is 7-3 in Hudson’s last 10 starts overall.
Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Reds last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-4-1 in Reds last 17 home games.
Under is 20-7-1 in Reds last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 28-10-1 in Reds last 39 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 19-7 in Reds last 26 Thursday games.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 25-10-1 in Reds last 36 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 47-20-4 in Reds last 71 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-5-1 in Reds last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 41-19-1 in Reds last 61 games following a loss.
Under is 72-34-4 in Reds last 110 overall.
Under is 72-34-4 in Reds last 110 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Roark’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Roark’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Roark’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Roark’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Roark’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Roark’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Roark’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 6-2 in Roark’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Cardinals are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cardinals are 23-11 in the last 34 meetings.
