Cardinals vs Nationals Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/10/17]

St Louis (2-4) at Washington (3-3)
When: Monday, April 10th 2017
Where: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FSN Midwest, MASN

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Two clubs trying to get back on track this young season square off in the Nation’s Capital on Monday night as the Washington Nationals host the St. Louis Cardinals. Washington is coming off a 3-3 road trip to start the season and dropped two of three in Philadelphia over the weekend including a 17-3 drubbing on Saturday night in which the Phillies scored 12 in the first. St. Louis will hit the road for the first time and are coming off back-to-back series losses at home to NL Central rivals the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds. St. Louis was shut out twice by the Reds, including 8-0 in Sunday’s series finale. No one in the Cardinals’ starting lineup ended the game with a batting average over .300, and the club has recorded just 11 extra-base hits through six games. The Nationals have fared better at the plate but struck out 33 times in three games against the Phillies and the bullpen has allowed 17 earned runs in 20.1 innings. St. Louis relievers are not faring much better, allowing six home runs in the first six games, with closer Seung Hwan Oh surrendering two of those.

Pitchers: Cardinals – Adam Wainwright (0-1, 3.60 ERA) | Nationals – Tanner Roark (1-0, 3.00)

Adam Wainwright will get his second chance this season after losing his first start despite a solid effort. Wainwright allowed two runs and three hits over five innings and struck out six and allowed only one extra-base hit. Wainwright is 8-3 with a 2.99 ERA in 14 career games (12 starts) against the Nationals, winning the last four while last losing in 2012. Washington 2B Daniel Murphy (8-for-17) and OF Bryce Harper (7-for-18, home run) have had success against Wainwright.

Tanner Roark was superb in his season debut, limiting Miami to two runs and three hits over six innings with six strikeouts. Roark retired 13 of the last 14 batters he faced and gave up just one extra-base hit. He is 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA in three outings versus the Cardinals, but his only start against them came in 2013.

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St. Louis’ offense is really bad right now and they’re going up against a very underrated pitcher in Roark. Washington’s two best hitters have hurt Wainwright in the past and I see them doing it again tonight.

Pick: Nationals -125

W/L TRENDS

St. Louis
  • Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Cardinals are 12-4 in Wainwrights last 16 starts vs. National League East.
  • Cardinals are 6-2 in Wainwrights last 8 Monday starts.
  • Cardinals are 28-11 in Wainwrights last 39 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Cardinals are 28-12 in Wainwrights last 40 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 37-16 in Wainwrights last 53 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 54-25 in Wainwrights last 79 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 48-23 in Wainwrights last 71 starts.
  • Cardinals are 41-20 in Wainwrights last 61 road starts.
  • Cardinals are 47-23 in Wainwrights last 70 starts on grass.
Washington
  • Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss.
  • Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
  • Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Nationals are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Nationals are 15-7 in their last 22 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Nationals are 5-0 in Roark’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Nationals are 8-1 in Roark’s last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Nationals are 14-2 in Roark’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Nationals are 5-1 in Roark’s last 6 home starts.
  • Nationals are 9-2 in Roark’s last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Nationals are 9-2 in Roark’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Nationals are 7-2 in Roark’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Nationals are 20-7 in Roark’s last 27 starts.
  • Nationals are 20-7 in Roark’s last 27 starts on grass.
  • Nationals are 5-2 in Roark’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Nationals are 3-7 in Roark’s last 10 Monday starts.
  • Nationals are 1-4 in Roark’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

OU TRENDS

St. Louis
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 road games.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 Monday games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Over is 6-0 in Wainwright’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 6 Monday starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Over is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-2 in Wainwright’s last 9 starts vs. National League East.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Wainwright’s last 9 road starts.
Washington
  • Over is 10-1 in Nationals last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
  • Under is 15-5-2 in Nationals last 22 games following a loss.
  • Under is 32-14-5 in Nationals last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 39-17-2 in Nationals last 58 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-0 in Roark’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in Roark’s last 6 Monday starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Roark’s last 9 starts on grass.
  • Under is 6-2 in Roark’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Roark’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Roark’s last 9 starts overall.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Roark’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Roark’s last 14 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Cardinals are 5-0 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts vs. Nationals.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 road starts vs. Nationals.
  • Over is 6-1-3 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 road starts vs. Nationals.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts vs. Nationals.
  • Cardinals are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

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