St Louis (39-36) at Milwaukee (45-31)
When: Sunday, June 24th 2018
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 2:10 ET | TV: FS Midwest, FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -123/8.5
The St. Louis Cardinals continued to struggle offensively, but managed to pull out a 3-2 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday and will aim for a four-game series split on Sunday afternoon. St. Louis has dropped eight of its last 11 overall and the offense managed only four hits Saturday despite the victory. The Cardinals have not scored more than three runs in any of the last four games but catcher Yadier Molina has a pair of home runs in two of the past four games. Outfielder Tommy Pham is one of the slumping St. Louis bats, going 0-for-14 with eight strikeouts in his past four games. St. Louis remains 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, who have limited opponents to three or fewer runs in four straight games and eight the last 10. Milwaukee could be without outfielder Lorenzo Cain, who left Saturday’s game due to groin tightness. Milwaukee give the ball to veteran Jhoulys Chacin against Cardinals righty Luke Weaver on Sunday.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Luke Weaver (3-6, 4.69 ERA) | Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (6-2, 3.18)
Weaver hasn’t recorded a win in his last seven attempts and hasn’t gone past six innings in any of his last five. He was touched for four runs on six hits and four walks over five innings without factoring in the decision against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. Weaver took the loss at Milwaukee on May 28th, giving up four runs – two earned – across four innings.
Chacin has pitched well all season, but suffered a loss at Pittsburgh on Monday, allowing one run and six hits over 6.1 innings but could not get any run support in a game the Brewers went on to lose 1-0. Chacin has surrendered one run or less in three of his last four outings and five of seven. He made two starts against the Cardinals in April and allowed a total of nine runs – six earned – over 10.1 innings.
The only one swinging a hot bat for St. Louis is Molina, and he may get the customary Sunday afternoon off. Even if he plays, the Cardinals are overmatched here with Chacin against Weaver. Look for the Brewers to start another winning streak.
Pick: Brewers -125
BETTING TRENDS:
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 9-3 in Weaver’s last 12 road starts.
- Cardinals are 10-4 in Weaver’s last 14 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in Weaver’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 21-8 in their last 29 home games.
- Brewers are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 21-10 in their last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Chacin’s last 5 home starts.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Chacin’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Brewers are 10-2 in Chacin’s last 12 starts.
- Brewers are 10-2 in Chacin’s last 12 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Cardinals last 26 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Weavers last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Weaver’s last 4 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Weaver’s last 5 Sunday starts.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Weaver’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3 in Weaver’s last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 21-5-1 in Brewers last 27 Sunday games.
- Under is 47-18-2 in Brewers last 67 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 81-35-4 in Brewers last 120 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 27-12-2 in Brewers last 41 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 36-16-1 in Brewers last 53 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Chacin’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Chacin’s last 9 starts overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Chacin’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Weaver’s last 4 starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
