Phillies vs Nationals Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/23/18]

Philadelphia (40-33) at Washington (40-34)
When: Saturday, June 23rd 2018
Where: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Time: 4:05 ET | TV: NBCS Philly, MASN
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -129/8 


The Philadelphia Phillies have been a streaky team this season, and are currently on a winning one as they take on the Washington Nationals in the middle game of their three-game weekend series on Saturday afternoon. Philadelphia pounded that Nationals pitching staff Friday in an 12-2 triumph as Phillies outfielder Odubel Herrera stayed hot. Herrera recorded four hits on the night and became the sixth Phillie to homer in five consecutive games. He is a torrid 13-for-22 with five homers, eight RBIs and 10 runs scored during a five-game hitting streak for Philadelphia, which has scored 42 times during its current 5-1 stretch. Carlos Santana continues to improve on his batting average, blasting a home run and driving in four runs. Nick Williams had two hits and three RBIs as the Phillies moved a half-game ahead of Washington into second place in the National League East. Michael Taylor had an RBI double to extend his hitting streak to a career-high 13 games for the Nationals, who have dropped eight of 11. Rookie sensation Juan Soto has hit safely in six straight games for Washington, while Phillies OF Rhys Hoskins has the same hitting streak, going 10-for-25. Erick Fedde will oppose Aaron Nola in a matchup of 2014 first-round draft picks.

Pitchers: Phillies – Aaron Nola (8-2, 2.55 ERA) | Nationals – Erick Fedde (0-2, 5.63)

Nola was bound to have an off night sooner or later, and his last start was it. He lasted a season-low 4.1 innings and surrendered four runs on seven hits in a no-decision at Milwaukee. That ended a stretch of allowing one run or fewer in six of his previous eight outings. The slumping Bryce Harper is 8-for-17 with two homers off Nola, who is 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA in 10 starts versus Washington, but pitched well against them in his last three of 2017.


Fedde was selected 11 slots behind Nola in the 2014 draft, but hasn’t had nearly the success. Fedde is still seeking his first major-league win as he prepares to make his seventh career start and fourth this season. He gave up three runs on seven hits over 5.1 innings in his last start against the New York Yankees, and has allowed eight homers in 31.1 career innings.

The Phillies are playing much better than Washington and the pitching matchup is clearly one-sided. They only reason to stay away from Philly is if the line was too high, and its not. Easy money here.

Pick: Phillies -120

https://youtu.be/0e_D70buEYE


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 Saturday games.
  • Phillies are 25-53 in their last 78 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 29-64 in their last 93 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
  • Phillies are 9-2 in Nola’s last 11 starts.
  • Phillies are 9-2 in Nola’s last 11 starts on grass.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Phillies are 5-2 in Nola’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 3-8 in Nola’s last 11 road starts.
  • Phillies are 1-5 in Nola’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Nationals are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Nationals are 29-14 in their last 43 games on grass.
  • Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
  • Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Nationals are 0-4 in Fedde’s last 4 home starts.
  • Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
  • Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 on grass.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Phillies last 8 Saturday games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nola’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Nola’s last 6 Saturday starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
  • Under is 6-2 in Nola’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Nola’s last 7 road starts.
  • Under is 12-5-2 in Nola’s last 19 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Nola’s last 14 starts on grass.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Nola’s last 14 starts overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-2 in Nationals last 10 Saturday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
  • Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 25-9 in Nationals last 34 on grass.
  • Under is 19-7 in Nationals last 26 overall.
  • Under is 19-7 in Nationals last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 road starts vs. Nationals.
  • Under is 5-2 in Nola’s last 7 starts vs. Nationals.
  • Phillies are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings.
  • Phillies are 5-15 in the last 20 meetings in Washington.
  • Phillies are 1-4 in Nola’s last 5 road starts vs. Nationals.
  • Phillies are 1-5 in Nola’s last 6 starts vs. Nationals.

CLICK HERE TO BET MLB BASEBALL ODDS AND PROPS