St Louis (6-9) at Milwaukee (8-8)
When: Thursday, April 20th 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FSN Midwest, FSN Wisconsin
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The Milwaukee Brewers return home after a couple of tough losses to take on a St. Louis Cardinals team that is starting to find it’s groove. The Brewers dropped the final two contests at Wrigley Field against the Cubs after taking the opener. Wednesday’s loss was a tough one to swallow as the Milwaukee bullpen surrendered four runs in the bottom of the ninth including a walk-off three-run shot by Addison Russell. Still, the nine-game road trip ended in a successful 6-3 mark. After starting the season with a 3-9 mark, the Cardinals have won three consecutive 2-1 ball games in a sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Center fielder Dexter Fowler was just 8-for-56 with zero RBIs through the first 14 games but he supplied all the offense on Wednesday with two solo homers in the victory over the Pirates. St. Louis 1B Matt Carpenter (right hand) went 1-for-4 on Wednesday after missing the previous two games. Milwaukee 3B Travis Shaw is carrying a hot stick, as he’s homered in back-to-back games and three of the last four. The Cardinals are 61-30 against the Brewers since the beginning of the 2012 season.
Pitchers: Cardinals – Carlos Martinez (0-2, 3.57 ERA) | Brewers – Zach Davies (0-2, 8.79)
Carlos Martinez will get the ball on the mound tonight and is coming off an 11 strike out, eight walk ball game in which he allowed just three runs (two earned) and four hits over 5.1 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees. Martinez issued just one total walk in his first two starts against Cincinnati and the Cubs. Martinez was brilliant against Milwaukee last season, posting a 3-0 mark and 1.38 ERA in four starts and has limited the Brewers to a .223 average in 19 career appearances (eight starts).
Zach Davies has been horrible through his first three outings, posting a 2.02 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .344. Davies has yet to pitch more than five innings and his best outing was his last, when he gave up three runs and five hits in five innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds. Davies is 1-0 with a 1.66 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals but has been hit hard by third baseman Jedd Gyorko (5-for-8, one homer).
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It’s the Cardinals ace against the Brewers worst starter so far this season. The Cardinals have won three in a row, while the Brewers have lost two straight and are just 2-5 at home. You see the trend here?
Pick: Cardinals -125
W/L TRENDS
| St. Louis |
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
- Cardinals are 1-6 in their last 7 Thursday games.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in Martinez’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 Thursday starts.
- Cardinals are 19-8 in Martinez’s last 27 road starts.
- Cardinals are 21-10 in Martinez’s last 31 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in Martinez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 0-4 in Martinez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Brewers are 6-2 in Davies’ last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 7-3 in Davies’ last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 2-6 in Davies’ last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Davies’ last 5 home starts.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Davies’ last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
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OU TRENDS
| St. Louis |
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Cardinals last 27 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 41-20-2 in Cardinals last 63 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinez’s last 4 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Martinez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Martinez’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 15-5-3 in Martinez’s last 23 starts on grass.
- Under is 15-5-3 in Martinez’s last 23 starts overall.
- Under is 15-5-6 in Martinez’s last 26 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 15-6-5 in Martinez’s last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-2 in Martinez’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Milwaukee |
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 11-3-2 in Brewers last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Davies’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Davies’ last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Davies’ last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Davies’ last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Cardinals are 4-0 in Martinez’s last 4 starts vs. Brewers.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 road starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Martinez’s last 7 starts vs. Brewers.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Martinez’s last 5 road starts vs. Brewers.
- Cardinals are 37-15 in the last 52 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Cardinals are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.
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