Broncos vs Chargers Preview, Trends, & Free Pick – Week 7 [2017]

Denver (3-2) at LA Chargers (2-4)
When: Sunday, October 22nd 2017
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, CA
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: Denver -2.5/42.5

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The Denver Broncos aim for the season sweep of the Los Angeles Chargers when the two AFC West rivals meet Sunday afternoon in Southern California in a Week 7 battle. Denver is coming off an embarrassing loss to the previously winless New York Giants 23-10 as 13.5-point favorites when the game went off. The Broncos have dropped two of their last three games after a strong start which included a 24-21 season opening victory over the Chargers. Los Angeles has posted consecutive victories following an 0-4 start under first-year coach Anthony Lynn. The Chargers trail the second place Broncos by 1.5 games entering Sunday as the AFC West is starting to tighten up with the Kansas City Chiefs now losing two in a row. Denver has some injury concerns at wide receiver with Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) and Isaiah McKenzie (ankle) already ruled out, while Cody Latimer (knee) appears doubtful. Demaryius Thomas (calf) is also banged-up, but is expected to play. The Broncos have won six of the last seven meetings.

LIVE IN-GAME BETTING

Trevor Siemian passed for a career-high 376 yards against the Giants but was intercepted twice and guided his team to just 10 points. Running back C.J. Anderson has gained 347 yards on the season but was held in check by a good New York defense (17 yards, nine carries). He should find the going a little easier this week against an L.A. rushing defense (152.5 yards per game) that ranks dead last in the NFL. Denver leads the league in total defense (261.8) and is second in rushing defense (70.2) while star outside linebacker Von Miller (five sacks) has recorded 13 sacks in 13 career games against the Bolts.

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Philip Rivers threw three touchdown passes in the season-opening loss to the Broncos and has had a solid season thus far with 1,633 yards and 10 TDs against five interceptions. Running back Melvin Gordon (356 rushing yards, NFL-best seven total touchdowns) is nursing a tender shoulder after receiving 34 touches (25 rushes for 83 yards, nine catches for 67 yards) in last week’s win over Oakland. The Chargers defense ranks fourth in the league against the pass at 186 yards per game, and the strong pass-rushing abilities of outside linebacker Melvin Ingram (7.5 sacks) and defensive end Joey Bosa (5.5) are a reason why. Defensive tackle Corey Liuget (back) was injured against the Raiders and could miss Sunday’s game.

WEEK 7 STAFF SELECTIONS

The Chargers have been playing pretty well, but they have zero homefield advantage (0-3) and we’ll probably see more Denver fans than Charger fans on Sunday. Denver was embarrassed last week and will look to bounce back with a strong effort. I’ll take the Broncos.

Pick: Broncos PK

  • Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
  • Chargers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • Chargers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.
  • Chargers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Chargers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.
  • Chargers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
  • Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chargers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
  • Chargers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games in October.
  • Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 vs. AFC West.
  • Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 12-5-1 in Broncos last 18 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in Broncos last 14 games in Week 7.
  • Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in October.
  • Under is 11-3-1 in Chargers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 vs. AFC.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Chargers last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Road team is 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

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