Milwaukee (59-54) at Minnesota (53-56)
When: Monday, August 7th 2017
Where: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FSN Wisconsin, FSN North
Opening Odds: Minnesota -128/9
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A couple of Central division teams will do battle this week as the Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins open a four-game, home-and-home series on Monday night at Target Field. Milwaukee blew a chance to regain the top spot in the NL Central when they snapped a three-game winning streak with a loss at Tampa Bay on Sunday. Orlando Arcia accounted for the only run in the 2-1 setback with a solo home run to extend his hitting to five games. It was his second homer in three days for the Milwaukee shortstop, who trail the Cubs by one-half game. Minnesota edged Texas 6-5 on Sunday to earn a split of their four-game weekend series and sit 3.5 games behind Kansas City for the second wild-card spot in the American League. Eddie Rosario homered for the fist time in nine games for a Twins team that is a disappointing 25-33 at home and trail first-place Cleveland by six games in the AL Central. Brian Dozier also homered for the Twins, but left the game with an undisclosed illness and hopes to be in the lineup for the series opener. Dozier has hit 20 or more homers for the fourth straight season, becoming the ninth Twin to accomplish the feat and first since Justin Morneau did it in five consecutive years (2005-09). Slugger Miguel Sano remains day-to-day after being hit on the left hand by a pitch on Friday.
Pitchers: Brewers – Brent Suter (2-2, 3.04 ERA) | Twins – Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.28)
Brent Suter’s streak of five straight solid efforts ended on Wednesday when the St. Louis Cardinals hit him for five runs and eight hits over 5.1 innings. Suter has pitched well in his last three road starts, allowing five runs over 17 innings, but has a no-decision in each of those outings. He will be facing Minnesota for the first time in his short career.
Santana is coming off his major league-leading fifth complete game of the year – a 110-pitch masterpiece against San Diego on Wednesday. He allowed two runs and four hits while recording a season-high nine strikeouts. Santana has lost two consecutive games at home, even though one was a complete game against the Los Angeles Angels in which he allowed only two runs. Santana has struggled versus Milwaukee, going 0-2 with a 7.41 ERA in three career starts.
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Santana has been really good this year, but for some reason, hasn’t been the same at home, posting a 4.09 ERA and the Twins are just 4-7 in those 11 starts. Milwaukee has been playing solid ball since a tail-spin around the All-Star Break. With Sano and Dozier questionable to play, I have to take Milwaukee in this one.
Pick: Brewers +114
W/L TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague road games.
- Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
- Brewers are 34-78 in their last 112 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 20-46 in their last 66 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-12 in their last 17 games on grass.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
- Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 1-5 in Suters last 6 road starts.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Suters last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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| Minnesota |
- Twins are 21-9 in their last 30 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Twins are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Twins are 25-55 in their last 80 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 25-55 in their last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 overall.
- Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 games on grass.
- Twins are 16-37 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.
- Twins are 8-20 in their last 28 games following a win.
- Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 13-40 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games.
- Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 3-7 in Santanas last 10 interleague starts.
- Twins are 4-10 in Santanas last 14 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 2-5 in Santanas last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 9-23 in Santanas last 32 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Twins are 7-18 in Santanas last 25 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 1-5 in Santanas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 1-5 in Santanas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Twins are 1-5 in Santanas last 6 Monday starts.
- Twins are 1-6 in Santanas last 7 home starts.
- Twins are 1-11 in Santanas last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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OU TRENDS
| Milwaukee |
- Under is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 10-1 in Brewers last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-1-2 in Brewers last 11 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 12-3 in Brewers last 15 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Monday games.
- Under is 22-6-1 in Brewers last 29 overall.
- Under is 19-6-2 in Brewers last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Brewers last 26 on grass.
- Under is 6-2-2 in Brewers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 18-6-2 in Brewers last 26 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 20-7 in Brewers last 27 games following a loss.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Brewers last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 35-16-3 in Brewers last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suters last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Suters last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Suters last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Suters last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Suters last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Suters last 5 road starts.
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| Minnesota |
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Twins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Twins last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Twins last 16 interleague home games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Twins last 26 games following a win.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Twins last 9 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Twins last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 13-5-1 in Twins last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 Monday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Twins last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 interleague games.
- Under is 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Santanas last 7 interleague starts.
- Under is 10-2 in Santanas last 12 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Santanas last 6 Monday starts.
- Under is 10-3 in Santanas last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Santanas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 14-5-2 in Santanas last 21 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 26-10-1 in Santanas last 37 starts on grass.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Santanas last 26 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Santanas last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Santanas last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 11-5 in Santanas last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.
- Over is 18-7-4 in the last 29 meetings.
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