Atlanta (62-44) at Washington (56-49)
When: Monday, July 29th, 2019
Where: Nationals Park,
Washington, DC
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Washington -144/9
With the end of July coming up, the National League East race is still wide open and the top two teams will begin a pivotal series starting Monday night as the first place Atlanta Braves visit the Washington Nationals. Atlanta and Washington have been two of the hottest teams going since the end of May with the Nationals closing the gap with an impressive 37-18 run despite losing two of three over the weekend to the MLB-best Los Angeles Dodgers. Stephen Strasburg halted the team’s three-game losing streak with a solid performance and the offense erupted for an 11-4 triumph. The bad news was that first baseman Matt Adams – who hit .300 with three homers and seven RBI in his last eight starts – left after he was hit by a pitch on his foot and will another X-ray on Monday to determine the extent of the injury. Third baseman Anthony Rendon went 3-for-4 with three RBI to increase his average to .368 in the last 18 contests. The Braves bombed the Phillies during the first two games over the weekend, but couldn’t complete the sweep with a 9-4 setback on Sunday. Center fielder Ender Inciarte homered for the second consecutive day and finished with two hits and three RBI, but outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. left the game with neck stiffness after a collision at second base after extending his on-base streak to 32 games. Washington leads the season series 5-4 after splitting a four-game set in Atlanta on July 18-21.
Pitchers: Braves – Dallas Keuchel (3-3, 3.50 ERA) | Nationals – Patrick Corbin (8-5, 3.25)
Dallas Keuchel has settled into Atlanta very nicely since being acquired in June to bolster the pitching staff. He’s allowed three earned runs or less in five of his seven starts with the Braves including a 12 strikeout performance against Kansas City last time out. That was a nice bounce back from his previous outing when he allowed a season-high five runs – four earned – at Milwaukee. Keuchel made his Atlanta debut at Washington on June 21st and gave up four runs – three earned – over five innings.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
The Nationals are 6-1 in Patrick Corbin’s last seven starts and in that span, he’s allowed three runs once, and two runs or less in all the others, leading to a 1.60 ERA during the run. He limited Colorado to three hits with seven strikeouts in six scoreless innings last time out to record his eighth win. Corbin gave up eight hits and two runs over five innings back on July 19th in the 4-3 loss at Atlanta.
The trend here is to take the under, and that’s exactly what I’ll do. Both of these lefties have been terrific over the last month-plus and ALL seven of Keuchel’s starts have gone under. Corbin has pitched against the Braves eight times in his career and has allowed more than two runs just once. This game – and series – will also have a playoff-type atmosphere which favors pitching.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 98-70 +1678 units on the season!
Pick: UNDER 9.5 -120
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Braves are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a loss.
Braves are 16-6 in their last 22 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 24-11 in their last 35 road games.
Braves are 24-11 in their last 35 vs. National League East.
Nationals are 9-2 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Nationals are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Nationals are 14-6 in their last 20 home games.
Nationals are 37-18 in their last 55 overall.
Nationals are 37-18 in their last 55 games on grass.
Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games.
Nationals are 6-0 in Corbin’s last 6 home starts.
Nationals are 6-1 in Corbin’s last 7 starts.
Nationals are 6-1 in Corbin’s last 7 starts on grass.
Nationals are 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 6-2 in Corbin’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 11-2-1 in Braves last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 13-3 in Braves last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games.
Under is 8-2-1 in Braves last 11 games following a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Braves last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-0 in Keuchel’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Keuchel’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Keuchel’s last 4 road starts.
Under is 7-0 in Keuchel’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-0 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League East.
Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-3 in Nationals last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-3 in Nationals last 16 games following a win.
Under is 17-6 in Nationals last 23 overall.
Under is 17-6 in Nationals last 23 on grass.
Under is 8-3-1 in Nationals last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 8-3 in Nationals last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 15-7-1 in Nationals last 23 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 5-0 in Corbin’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Corbin’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-0 in Corbin’s last 6 home starts.
Under is 7-1 in Corbin’s last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 5-1 in Corbin’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 19-9-1 in the last 29 meetings in Washington.
Braves are 14-33 in the last 47 meetings in Washington.
