Dodgers vs Rockies Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [7/29/19]

LA Dodgers (69-38) at Colorado (49-57)
When: Monday, July 29th, 2019
Where: Coors Field,
Denver, Colorado
Time: 8:40 ET | TV: SportsNet LA,
AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -135/12.5


The Colorado Rockies have fallen off the face of the Earth over the last two weeks and are playing themselves out of contention for a postseason berth with 56 games to go. The road doesn’t get any easier this week as they return home to face the the best team in Baseball and the Los Angeles Dodgers – a team that has beaten Colorado eight out of 10 times this season. The Rockies were right near the top of the National League Wild Card standings on July 14th when they stood at 46-46. Since then, they are 3-11 and 7.5 games back of a playoff spot and they are in front of only two teams now. Colorado dropped two of three at Cincinnati over the weekend including a tough 3-2 setback where they had numerous chances to win that game. Yonder Alonso is 6-for-12 with a homer, three RBI and four runs scored since begin acquired from the White Sox, while David Dahl extended his hitting streak to six games. The Dodgers couldn’t complete the three-game sweep at Washington over the weekend, dropping the finale 11-4 on Sunday but still own the majors’ best record (69-38) and have won two of three since dropping two straight at home to the L.A. Angels. Corey Seager accounted for most of the runs with a three-run homer and rookie catcher Will Smith had a single after recording six RBI in Saturday’s 9-3 victory over the Nationals.

Pitchers: Dodgers – Kenta Maeda (7-7, 3.81 ERA) | Rockies – Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05)

As good as the Dodgers have been this year, they are only 3-6 in Kenta Maeda’s last nine starts after a 5-4 loss to the Angels last Tuesday when the Japanese native allowed three runs on four hits over 4.1 innings. Maeda is 0-5 over his last 10 appearances with a 4.08 ERA and just two quality starts. He is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against the Rockies this year, however.


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John Gray was cruising along last Wednesday at Washington with four innings of two-hit ball but had to leave due to a calf injury. He walked five in that outing and has eight free passes in his last two starts covering 9.1 innings. Gray is 1-1 with a 4.97 ERA in two starts versus the Dodgers this season – both at home.

I just can’t see how you can take the Rockies right now. The reason the line is only -137 is because Maeda has not been very good, but the Dodgers will be able to outscore Colorado in this one and continue their dominance over them.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 98-70 +1678 units on the season!

Pick: Dodgers -137


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BETTING TRENDS:

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Dodgers are 48-20 in their last 68 vs. National League West.
Dodgers are 37-16 in their last 53 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 games following a loss.
Dodgers are 50-23 in their last 73 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 43-20 in their last 63 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 60-29 in their last 89 games on grass.
Dodgers are 61-30 in their last 91 overall.
Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Dodgers are 3-7 in Maeda’s last 10 road starts.
Dodgers are 1-5 in Maeda’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 1-5 in Maeda’s last 6 Monday starts.
Dodgers are 1-6 in Maeda’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Dodgers are 0-4 in Maeda’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Rockies are 17-6 in their last 23 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.
Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.
Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Rockies are 4-0 in Gray’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Rockies are 9-1 in Gray’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
Rockies are 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rockies are 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 home starts.
Rockies are 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rockies are 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 starts vs. National League West.
Rockies are 15-7 in Gray’s last 22 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 11-3 in Dodgers last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 road games.
Over is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3-3 in Dodgers last 14 Monday games.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Maeda’s last 4 Monday starts.
Under is 4-0 in Maeda’s last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0-1 in Maeda’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Maeda’s last 4 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Maeda’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Maeda’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Maeda’s last 5 road starts.
Over is 4-1 in Maeda’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Maeda’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Maeda’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 20-7-4 in Maeda’s last 31 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 20-8-3 in Maeda’s last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 Monday games.
Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-3 in Rockies last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 vs. National League West.
Over is 12-5 in Rockies last 17 home games.
Over is 7-3-1 in Rockies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 16-7-1 in Rockies last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 40-18-5 in Rockies last 63 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 11-5 in Rockies last 16 games following a loss.
Under is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts overall.
Under is 14-3 in Gray’s last 17 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Gray’s last 9 home starts.
Under is 17-5 in Gray’s last 22 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Gray’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 Monday starts.
Under is 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-5 in Gray’s last 17 starts vs. National League West.

Under is 7-0 in Gray’s last 7 home starts vs. Dodgers.
Under is 9-2 in Gray’s last 11 starts vs. Dodgers.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.
Rockies are 6-2 in Gray’s last 8 home starts vs. Dodgers.
Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
Dodgers are 5-2 in Maeda’s last 7 starts vs. Rockies.
Dodgers are 5-2 in Maeda’s last 7 road starts vs. Rockies.
Under is 7-3-1 in Maeda’s last 11 starts vs. Rockies.

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