Atlanta (1-1) at NY Mets (1-1)
When: Sunday, July 26th 2020
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:08 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Atlanta -110
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are two teams who will be battling the rest of the National League East this season and they will be showcased on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball this week. The opening series has been very tight so far with the Mets taking a 1-0 victory on Friday and Atlanta returned the favor in dramatic fashion Saturday. Marcell Ozuna was signed in the offseason and made his new teammates very happy on Saturday with a two-strike, two-out, game-tying homer in the ninth inning of Saturday’s 5-3 victory. The Braves scored only one run on seven hits in the first 17.2 innings of the series before Ozuna’s homer. Atlanta then took full advantage of baseball’s new rule of starting extra innings with a runner at second, bringing home three runs in the 10th. New York’s Michael Conforto went 3-for-3 with a double and a run scored, while shortstop Amed Rosario finished 2-for-4 with a game-tying RBI triple in the fifth. Mets pitchers have struck out 27 Atlanta hitters through the first two games.
Pitchers: Braves – Sean Newcomb (6-3, 3.16 ERA) | Mets – Rick Porcello (14-12, 5.52)
Sean Newcomb had decent results in his first two seasons as a starting pitcher, but worked mostly out of the bullpen in 2019 after struggling in the rotation. Newcomb had a 3.04 ERA as a reliever last season and walked only 19 batters while striking out 57 in 53.1 innings. In seven career starts against the Mets, Newcomb owns a 2.75 ERA.
Porcello is hoping the switch to the National League will turn things around for the righty who was awful in 2019. He made 32 starts for Boston and posted a 6.04 ERA with a .291 opponents batting average in his final 22 starts. Porcello, who pitched the first 11 years of his career in the American League, is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta.
I’m taking the Braves here. They couldn’t hit anything until Ozuna sparked the team with his dramatic homer in the ninth yesterday. I’m not going to trust Porcello until he can show me he’s turned things around after an awful 2019. Look for the Braves to hit him hard.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for today. He is 2-2 +57 units on the season.
Pick: Braves -115
BETTING TRENDS:
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Braves are 19-8 in their last 27 games following a win.
Braves are 38-16 in their last 54 Sunday games.
Braves are 51-23 in their last 74 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 17-8 in their last 25 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.
Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Mets are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a favorite.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
