Atlanta (50-34) at NY Mets (37-47)
When: Sunday, June 30th, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: New York -130/9
Once again, the New York Mets bullpen failed to hold a late-inning lead and dropped yet another game in what has been a very long week for the franchise. We predicted yesterday that the Braves would continue the Mets misery and Atlanta needed an eighth inning rally to make our pick a winner. Trailing 4-3 entering that inning, Nick Markakis tied the game with a solo home run, then rookie Austin Riley came up big again with the go-ahead bomb – his second of the weekend – to give Atlanta 6.5 game lead in the National League East over Philadelphia. Riley now has 14 home runs in 42 major league games, as the Braves improved to 6-3 against New York this season. The loss was the 18th in 27 games for the Mets, who dropped 13 games behind Atlanta in the division and will turn to Noah Syndergaard on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball to stop the bleeding. New York right fielder Jeff McNeil finished 2-for-4 with two doubles, a run scored and two RBI Saturday to raise his batting average to .344 on the season. The Mets bullpen gave up three runs on 10 hits over seven innings, and owns an 8.18 ERA with runs allowed in 18 of their past 20 games. The Braves will entertain the Phillies for three games starting Tuesday, while the Mets play an interleague series with the well-traveled New York Yankees.
Pitchers: Braves – Max Fried (9-3, 3.96 ERA) | Mets – Noah Syndergaard (5-4, 4.55)
Max Fried seems to be back on track after struggling in the first part of June and looks to end the month on a high-note after allowing four runs on 10 hits with 14 strikeouts over 12 innings in his last two outings. Fried had a 7.52 ERA with 17 runs allowed on 31 hits in just 20.1 innings in his previous four turns, but victories over Mets and Chicago Cubs got him back on track. The lefty allowed two runs on eight hits with six strikeouts June 19th against New York, and has a 1.77 ERA in seven career appearances versus them.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Syndergaard will pitch for the first time since June 15th when he allowed five runs – four earned – on six hits against St. Louis. He landed on the injured list after that start with a right hamstring strain and made a rehab start Tuesday for Single-A Brooklyn, allowing three runs in five innings while throwing 67 pitches. Syndergaard is 0-2 with a 3.49 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta, but has not seen them this season.
I really don’t care who’s pitching for the Mets right now. This team is in a funk that doesn’t show any signs of ending. Atlanta is the second-best team in the National League and are an impressive 26-17 away from home. Fried should have his third straight strong outing and second against the Mets to give Atlanta the sweep.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 85-58 +1753 units on the season after a 5-2 run!
Pick: Braves +100
Jay Cooper on 6-0 MLB Run! Two More Winners for Sunday!
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League East.
Braves are 23-8 in their last 31 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
Braves are 27-11 in their last 38 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 36-16 in their last 52 Sunday games.
Braves are 47-21 in their last 68 during game 3 of a series.
Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 games following a win.
Braves are 50-23 in their last 73 vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 road starts.
Braves are 6-0 in Fried’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 7-0 in Fried’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 starts.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 starts on grass.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 Sunday starts.
Braves are 5-0 in Fried’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 6-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 5-2 in Fried’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 Sunday games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.
Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 games on grass.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mets are 7-2 in Syndergaard’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 15-6 in Syndergaard’s last 21 Sunday starts.
Mets are 11-5 in Syndergaard’s last 16 home starts.
Mets are 3-7 in Syndergaard’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 2-8 in Syndergaard’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games following a win.
Under is 10-2-1 in Braves last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 8-2-1 in Braves last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 vs. National League East.
Over is 10-3-1 in Braves last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 12-4-1 in Braves last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Fried’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-1-1 in Fried’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 9-3 in Fried’s last 12 road starts.
Over is 3-1-1 in Fried’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 5-2-1 in Fried’s last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 5-2-1 in Fried’s last 8 starts overall.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 overall.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Under is 8-0 in Mets last 8 Sunday games.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-2 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 7-0 in Syndergaard’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Syndergaard’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Syndergaard’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1-1 in Syndergaard’s last 9 Sunday starts.
Over is 5-1 in Syndergaard’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Syndergaard’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Syndergaard’s last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Syndergaard’s last 7 home starts.
Under is 9-4-2 in Syndergaard’s last 15 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Braves are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Braves are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in New York.
Over is 5-2 in Syndergaard’s last 7 starts vs. Braves.
