Houston (0-0) at LA Dodgers (0-0)
When: Tuesday, October 24th 2017
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -155/7
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Two former National League West rivals take center stage in the Fall Classic as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the 2017 World Series. A title drought will be broken after this best-of-seven affair, as the Dodgers haven’t won the World Series since 2008, while the Astros have never won in their 56-year history. Kirk Gibson helped lead L.A. to their last title in ’88 with the memorable walk-off home run against the Oakland A’s in Game 1 of that series. The Astros made their first World Series appearance in 2005, but were swept by the Chicago White Sox. Houston won 101 games this season and got by the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees to reach the Series. Houston RF Josh Reddick went 1-for-25 in the American League Championship Series, including a record-tying 22 straight hitless at-bats. The Dodgers, who won 104 regular-season games, rolled through the Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs with third baseman Justin Turner leading the way by going 12-for-31 with three home runs and 12 RBIs in the eight games. The Dodgers’ bullpen didn’t allow a hit in 29 at-bats in the National League Championship Series against the Cubs and has a 0.94 ERA this postseason. Los Angeles SS Corey Seager (back) made the World Series roster and said Monday he’s ready to go.
Pitchers: Astros – Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 2.60 ERA) | Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 3.63 ERA)
The Astros will go with their franchise ace Dallas Keuchel in Game 1, while Justin Verlander will take the mound in the second game. Keuchel has been just as good in the postseason as he is during the regular season. He struck out 25 in 17.1 innings over three starts this October and is a solid 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA in six career postseason appearances (five starts).
It’s no surprise who the Dodgers will go with in Game 1 and possibly two other appearances depending on how the Series plays out. Clayton Kershaw has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard this postseason (six homers), but his career mark has improved to 6-7 with a 4.40 ERA in 21 appearances (17 starts). The three-time Cy Young winner is 3-2 with a 2.38 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros and has experienced struggles with Astros star second baseman Jose Altuve (6-for-15, four doubles), but then again, who hasn’t?
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I was hoping for a New York/L.A. series, but this one should be no short of drama as well. Both lineups are stacked and seem to perform better at home, especially the Astros. The starting pitching is probably a push, with L.A.’s 3rd and 4th starter slightly better than Houston’s. It may come down to the bullpen, and that advantage clearly goes to the Dodgers. If they have the lead in the 7th inning or later, it’s over. I’m taking the Dodgers in the series and it will start with a Game 1 victory on Tuesday.
Pick: Dodgers -165
BETTING TRENDS:
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
- Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 23-7 in their last 30 vs. National League West.
- Astros are 23-7 in their last 30 interleague road games.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 games following a win.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 overall.
- Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 15-5 in their last 20 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day.
- Astros are 42-18 in their last 60 interleague games.
- Astros are 14-6 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games.
- Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 World Series games.
- Astros are 5-1 in Keuchel’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
- Astros are 5-1 in Keuchel’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 11-3 in Keuchel’s last 14 road starts.
- Astros are 21-6 in Keuchel’s last 27 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 21-6 in Keuchel’s last 27 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 24-9 in Keuchel’s last 33 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Astros are 20-8 in Keuchel’s last 28 starts.
- Astros are 7-3 in Keuchel’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 60-29 in Keuchel’s last 89 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 47-12 in their last 59 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 59-16 in their last 75 games following a win.
- Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 interleague games.
- Dodgers are 38-13 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 23-8 in their last 31 interleague home games.
- Dodgers are 40-14 in their last 54 home games.
- Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Dodgers are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 26-11 in their last 37 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 37-16 in their last 53 Tuesday games.
- Dodgers are 76-34 in their last 110 overall.
- Dodgers are 76-34 in their last 110 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 37-18 in their last 55 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Dodgers are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. American League West.
- Dodgers are 47-9 in Kershaw’s last 56 starts.
- Dodgers are 46-9 in Kershaw’s last 55 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 48-10 in Kershaw’s last 58 home starts.
- Dodgers are 47-10 in Kershaw’s last 57 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 40-11 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 42-12 in Kershaw’s last 54 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Dodgers are 49-14 in Kershaw’s last 63 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 41-12 in Kershaw’s last 53 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 50-18 in Kershaw’s last 68 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 19-7 in Kershaw’s last 26 Tuesday starts.
- Dodgers are 40-15 in Kershaw’s last 55 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 37-14 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in Kershaw’s last 28 interleague starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 15-5-2 in Astros last 22 games following an off day.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Astros last 12 interleague road games.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 playoff road games.
- Over is 7-3 in Astros last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 9-4 in Astros last 13 games following a win.
- Under is 13-6 in Astros last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 13-6 in Astros last 19 road games.
- Under is 15-7-1 in Astros last 23 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Keuchel’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Keuchel’s last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Keuchel’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Keuchel’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Keuchel’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Keuchel’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Keuchel’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 12-3-2 in Keuchel’s last 17 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 playoff home games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 18-6-2 in Dodgers last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 Tuesday games.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 42-19 in Dodgers last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Kershaw’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 5 home starts.
- Over is 6-2 in Kershaw’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Kershaw’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 15-6-1 in Kershaw’s last 22 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 34-15-2 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Astros are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Astros are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
