LA Angels (62-59) at Baltimore (59-62)
When: Friday, August 18th 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FSN West, MASN
Opening Odds: Baltimore -133/10
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The AL Wild Card race heats-up this weekend as the Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels in the opener of an important three-game set on Friday night at Camden Yards. The Angels are coming off a two-game split of an interleague series with the Washington Nationals this week and will enter the weekend as leaders of the second AL Wild Card spot, one-half game ahead of Kansas City. The Orioles have a huge opportunity being only three games back of the Angels, but must find a way to string together some better pitching performances from their starting staff. The Orioles are 3-6 in their last nine games and needed to score at least seven runs to record each of those victories. One of those recent poor pitching performances came from Jeremy Hellickson, who will try to bounce back Friday when he goes up against Angels lefty Andrew Heaney. Hellickson will be getting a cooled-off Mike Trout, who’s just 3-for-15 with one extra-base hit over his last five games. Baltimore shortstop Tim Beckham is hitting a blistering .485 with five home runs, 17 runs scored and 12 RBIs in 16 games since being acquired at the trade deadline.
Pitchers: Angels – Andrew Heaney (2016: 0-1, 6.00 ERA) | Orioles – Jeremy Hellickson (7-7, 4.70)
Heaney will be making his first big league start since the beginning of the 2016 season when he injured his elbow and underwent Tommy John surgery last July. The 26-year-old went 6-4 with a 3.49 ERA in 18 starts in 2015, including a season-high 10 hits allowed over 5.2 innings during a no decision against Baltimore on August 7th.
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This will be Hellickson’s fourth start with Baltimore since being acquired from the Phillies at the trade deadline. He was excellent in his debut, but has gotten progressively worse in this last two outings. Hellickson was hit for six runs on five hits and a pair of walks over five innings at Oakland on Sunday to take his second straight loss. His first loss was a game at the Angels on August 8th in which he allowed only three runs in six innings while striking out nine.
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Heaney is a great story in how quickly he’s come back from Tommy John surgery, but I’m not ready to bet on him until I see a few starts. I expect Hellickson to bounce back from his last outing and keep the Angels down enough for Baltimore to pull out a victory.
Pick: Orioles -130
TRENDS:
- Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
- Angels are 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Angels are 10-21 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series.
- Angels are 9-21 in their last 30 Friday games.
- Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 games following an off day.
- Angels are 5-1 in Heaney’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 7-2 in Heaney’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 1-5 in Heaney’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
- Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 3-7 in their last 10 games following an off day.
- Orioles are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 Friday games.
- Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 18-4-4 in Angels last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Angels last 12 Friday games.
- Under is 51-21-4 in Angels last 76 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4-3 in Angels last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 31-15-5 in Angels last 51 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Heaney’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Orioles last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 11-4 in Orioles last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 8-3 in Orioles last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 games following a loss.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Orioles last 20 games following an off day.
- Under is 36-17-2 in Orioles last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.
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