LA Angels (43-42) at Seattle (54-31)
When: Tuesday, July 3rd 2018
Where: Safeco Field, Seattle, WA
Time: 10:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Seattle -105/8
The Los Angeles Angels are quickly falling out of the American League West and Wild Card races, but will get a big chance between now and the All-Star Break to make up some ground. It begins Tuesday night when they take on the second-place – and current second AL Wild Card – Seattle Mariners in the first of three from Safeco Field. Los Angeles faces a tough challenge if it hopes to climb back into the race before the All-Star break with six games each against the Mariners and the Los Angeles Dodgers left in the first half. The Angels have been passed by the Oakland A’s in the AL West and are a distant 11.5 games behind Houston, and 11 back of the M’s. The Angels are losers of seven of their last nine but had a chance to sweep the Orioles in a three-game series over the weekend before falling short on Sunday in an 8-2 setback. Seattle starter Wade LeBlanc should be extra careful with superstar Mike Trout, who loves Safeco Field more than any other visiting ballpark. The future Hall-of-Famer has played 66 career games in Seattle and is hitting .336 with 20 dingers and 52 RBIs. Seattle enters the contest a half-game behind the Astros in the division and owns the major’s longest winning streak at seven in a row after beating-up on last-place clubs Baltimore and Kansas City last week.
Pitchers: Angels – Andrew Heaney (4-5, 3.95 ERA) | Mariners – Wade LeBlanc (3-0, 3.38)
Andrew Heaney will be tasked with trying to end the Mariners winning streak, but is coming off a poor outing in which he allowed six runs on eight hits and three walks in 3.1 innings at Boston on Wednesday. Heaney yielded four runs in 15 innings over his previous two outings but is struggling with stringing together solid outings. He allowed five runs and seven hits over three innings in a loss at Seattle on June 11th.
LeBlanc is looking to rebound from back-to-back duds after allowing a total of 10 runs – nine earned – and 18 hits across 10.1 innings. The veteran lefty is already past his innings total from last season, when he worked exclusively as a reliever for the Pittsburgh Pirates. LeBlanc went up against Heaney on June 11th and earned the win while allowing two runs in five innings.
This is a matchup of pitchers who are not very confident right now. LeBlanc might have hit his peak a few weeks ago, and I see his ERA rising the rest of the season. Still, Seattle is playing much better than L.A. right now and should be able to outslug the Angels if LeBlanc is not at his best.
Pick: Mariners -113
BETTING TRENDS:
- Angels are 10-26 in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 6-16 in their last 22 games following an off day.
- Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
- Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Angels are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.
- Angels are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Angels are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 2-6 in Heaney’s last 8 starts.
- Angels are 2-6 in Heaney’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Angels are 2-7 in Heaney’s last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-4 in Heaney’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Angels are 3-13 in Heaney’s last 16 road starts.
- Angels are 1-5 in Heaney’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Angels are 2-14 in Heaney’s last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-7 in Heaney’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Angels are 1-7 in Heaney’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-8 in Heaney’s last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 0-4 in Heaney’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Angels are 0-5 in Heaney’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 17-4 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 Tuesday games.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.
- Mariners are 22-7 in their last 29 games following a win.
- Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 13-5 in their last 18 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day.
- Mariners are 27-11 in their last 38 games on grass.
- Mariners are 12-5 in their last 17 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 35-17 in their last 52 overall.
- Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 6-0 in LeBlanc’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 12-0 in LeBlanc’s last 12 home starts.
- Mariners are 4-0 in LeBlanc’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 5-1 in LeBlanc’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 15-3 in LeBlanc’s last 18 starts on grass.
- Mariners are 13-3 in LeBlanc’s last 16 starts.
- Mariners are 4-1 in LeBlanc’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 4-1 in LeBlanc’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 4-1 in LeBlanc’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mariners are 5-2 in LeBlanc’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Angels last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 games following an off day.
- Over is 11-5-3 in Angels last 19 Tuesday games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Heaney’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Heaney’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Heaney’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Heaney’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Heaney’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-2-2 in Heaney’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-2-2 in Heaney’s last 10 starts overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-3-2 in Heaney’s last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Heaney’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 55-25-4 in Mariners last 84 Tuesday games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in LeBlanc’s last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-1-1 in LeBlanc’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-1 in LeBlanc’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-1-1 in LeBlanc’s last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in LeBlanc’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
- Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Angels are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
- Angels are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
