LA Angels (76-78) at Houston (95-59)
When: Sunday, September 24th 2017
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Houston -145/9
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The Los Angeles Angels are quickly falling out of the playoff picture, while the Houston Astros continue to try and catch the Cleveland Indians for the best mark in the American League. The Angels try to avoid a season-worst seventh straight defeat when they conclude their season series in Houston with the Astros on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Los Angeles’ bats remained cold in Saturday’s 6-2 loss, scoring three runs or fewer for the fifth time during their losing streak, as Justin Upton provided all the offense with two solo homers. Not only did the Angels fall two games below .500 for the first time since August 8th, they dropped 4.5 games behind Minnesota for the AL’s second wild-card berth. The Astros won for the seventh time in eight games to remain 1.5 back of Cleveland for the AL’s best record, scoring all five of their fifth-inning runs after the first two batters were retired. Evan Gattis capped the rally off by launching a three-run homer. With its next victory, Houston will tie the 1986 team for the third-most wins (96) in a single season in club history.
Pitchers: Angels – Tyler Skaggs (2-6, 4.30 ERA) | Astros – Lance McCullers Jr. (7-3, 3.97)
Tyler Skaggs has been inconsistent since returning from the disabled list on August 5th, going 1-5 after allowing two runs on eight hits in 5.1 innings against Cleveland on Tuesday. After going 0-3 with a 5.86 ERA over his first five outings, Skaggs has been much sharper across his last three, posting a 2.45 ERA. Jose Altuve is 5-for-14 against Skaggs, who recorded his only victory since his lengthy stint on the disabled list when he shutout Houston over seven innings on September 13th.
Lance McCullers will take the mound for the first time since early September due to arm fatigue. He is winless in his last six outings and did not factor in the decision in his last start at Seattle nearly three weeks ago. Albert Pujols is 4-for-20 with a home run and Mike Trout 1-for-15 with a homer against McCullers, who has allowed only one unearned run over 13.2 innings in two starts versus the Angels this season.
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The Angels can’t hit McCullers and they really can’t hit anybody right now. Houston is still playing for a lot (homefield) and will be ready to go here tonight. Look for the sweep in a big way, then tune into the end of the Raiders/Redskins game.
Pick: Astros -1.5 +125
BETTING TRENDS:
- Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
- Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Angels are 2-5 in Skaggs’ last 7 road starts.
- Angels are 2-5 in Skaggs’ last 7 starts.
- Angels are 2-5 in Skaggs’ last 7 starts on grass.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 home games.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games.
- Astros are 40-16 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Astros are 10-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 7-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 6-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 8-2 in McCullers Jr.’s last 10 starts vs. American League West.
- Astros are 6-2 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 home starts.
- Astros are 8-3 in McCullers Jr.’s last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 1-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 1-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Astros are 1-5 in McCullers Jr.’s last 6 starts.
- Astros are 0-4 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 on grass.
- Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 Sunday games.
- Under is 58-26-5 in Angels last 89 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Skaggs’ last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Skaggs’ last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Skaggs’ last 7 road starts.
- Under is 7-3 in Skaggs’ last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Skaggs’ last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 26-8-2 in Astros last 36 Sunday games.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Astros last 21 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 Sunday starts.
- Over is 4-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 9-2 in McCullers Jr.’s last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 17-5 in McCullers Jr.’s last 22 home starts.
- Under is 14-5 in McCullers Jr.’s last 19 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 26 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 15-6 in McCullers Jr.’s last 21 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 4 home starts vs. Angels.
- Under is 6-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 6 starts vs. Angels.
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Astros are 4-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 home starts vs. Angels.
- Over is 4-1 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts vs. Astros.
- Angels are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
- Angels are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
