Week 9 – NFL Match Up Analysis

October 31st 2007
NFL Betting
Bet On Football

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) at New OrleansSaints (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS)

New Orleans must not feel very ‘at home’ at the Super Domeagainst AFC opponents, as it has compiled at 4-11-1 ATS record over thepast 16 such tilts. Overall, the Saints are an equally dismal 9-21-1 ATSat home. Jacksonville has covered at a 16-7-1 rate as underdogs and ata 23-10-1 rate against non-division foes. New Orleans has finished underthe total in 13 of 19 as home favorites of 3½-points or less.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-5 SU, 2-4-1 ATS) at BuffaloBills (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS)

Cincinnati was supposed to be a decent team this season,and Buffalo was predicted to be anything but. Halfway through the season,the Bills have a better record than the Bengals but are still home underdogsagainst the Bengals. What makes the line even odder is that Buffalo haswon six straight against the Bengals and covered the spread in five ofthose six games dating back to 1992. The Bills are 21-8 ATS in Novemberat home. Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in its past nine games at home. The Bengalsare 1-8 ATS after losing two of three and 5-12 ATS on the road after losingby 14 points or more. The total has gone over in five of Cincinnati’spast seven games against Buffalo.

San Diego Chargers (4-3 SU & ATS) at MinnesotaVikings (2-5 SU, 2-3-2 ATS)

San Diego has some stats going in its favor heading intoSunday’s clash with the Vikings. The Chargers are 21-6 ATS on theroad after allowing 10 points or less and 26-10 ATS after winning by 13points or more. And they’ve also covered the spread in 22 of 30on the road against NFC opponents. Minnesota is 20-10 as home underdogs,but 0-2 this season. San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its past five games againstMinnesota, and 14-4 SU in its past 18 overall. The total has gone overin four of San Diego’s past five against Minnesota. The Vikings are 1-4SU in their past five home games, and in their past five against the Chargers.

Seattle Seahawks (4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) at ClevelandBrowns (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)

Cleveland is putting together one of its best seasonsin years, while the Seahawks are in danger of squandering what was supposedto be a successful campaign. The Browns will be looking for their thirdstraight win, which would be their longest win streak since 2001. Clevelandis 5-1 ATS in its past six games. The Browns are 17-6-1 ATS after scoring23 points or more, but 7-14-1 ATS following a SU win. Seattle, which iscoming off a bye after blowing out the lowly St. Louis Rams in Week 7,is 3-10 ATS on the road against AFC rivals and 0-8 ATS off a blowout winover a division rival. The Seahawks have gone over in 10 of 13 as non-conferenceunderdogs.

Houston Texans (3-5 SU, 2-5-1 ATS) at OaklandRaiders (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)

Both the Texans and Raiders have lost three straight.At least this isn’t a Monday Night Football game. Oakland is 0-7ATS at home after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games and5-16 as favorites. Houston has failed to get the green in its last fivetrips to the post and in five of its last seven on the road. The totalhas gone over in five of Houston’s past six games on the road, and infive of Houston’s past seven overall. Houston is 1-4 ATS in its past fivegames on the road. Oakland is 3-9 ATS in its past 12 games, and 1-6 SUin its past seven at home.

Dallas Cowboys (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) at PhiladelphiaEagles (3-4 SU & ATS)

Things are pretty cut-and-dried in this NFC-East rivalry:the SU winner is 27-4-1 ATS, so it’s a case of winner take all whenthese teams clash. Philadelphia has won 10 of its past 15 at home againstDallas. But Dallas is having a great season, and is 6-1 SU in its pastseven games, 6-1 SU in its past seven on the road, and 4-1 ATS in itspast five on the road. The total has gone over in five of the past sixgames between the Cowboys and Eagles. Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its pasteight at home against Dallas.

Baltimore Ravens (4-3 SU, 1-6 ATS) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2SU & ATS)

The visiting team is 10-5-1 ATS in this AFC-North rivalry.Pittsburgh is 16-6 as favorites of 3½ to 9½-points. Pittsburghis 6-1 SU and ATS in its past seven home games. The Steelers have coveredthe spread in 11 of their past 13 at home on Monday Night Football. Baltimorehas covered the spread in four straight against Pittsburgh and won threeof four SU. The Ravens are 18-5 coming off an upset loss as favoritesand 10-5 ATS on the road after scoring 14 points or less. The total hasgone over in five of Baltimore’s past six on the road against Pittsburgh.