2007/08 AFC South NFL Analysis

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Colts will take AFC South – butthat’s allAug 15th 2007

Colts will take AFC South- but that’s all The Super Bowl champion Indianapolis Colts arepretty much a lock to win the AFC South division, but aren’t likelyto make much noise after that.

The reason is simple: defense. The Colts don’tjust lack a Tenacious D, they lack a decent defense, period. Indianapoliswas dead-last against the rush last season, and not only do theylook unimproved this year, they actually look like they couldslip a couple of notches, which isn’t easy when you’re alreadyat the very bottom.

True, the Colts did have the third-best passingdefense last season, but continued problems handling their opponents’running game this season spells trouble for Peyton Manning andcrew.


It’s actually quite amazing how little the Coltsdid to improve their defense during the off-season. With ninepicks in this year’s draft, who did they take with their firstselection? Wide Receiver Anthony Gonzalez (Ohio State). The lastthing Indianapolis needs is more offense.

Nevertheless, the Colts (12-4 last season) haveenough to fend off the competition in the AFC South, but that’sas far as they’ll go.

Bet the Colts to win the AFC South at one of UltimateCapper’s preferred sportsbooks, like Sportbet,which has Indianapolis favored to win the division (-265).

The Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8 last season) werea competitive team in ’06, especially on defense, allowing just283.6 yards per game, second only to Baltimore in the league.The offense was okay, averaging 23.2 points and 338.9 yards percontest. Those stats put the Jaguars in the league’s top thirdin both categories.

Jacksonville could put pressure on the Coltsthis season. And last year the Jags played with second-stringQB David Garrard most of the season, which hurt – and eventuallykilled – the team’s playoff chances, as Garrard faltered and theteam lost their last three games. This season, starter Byron Leftwichis healthy and RBs Fred Taylor and Maurice Drew-Jones providea one-two punch that few teams can rival.

At Sportbet, Jacksonville is +315 to winthe AFCSouth division .

The Houston Texans (6-10 last season) showed someimprovement last season, winning their last two games. With quarterbackMatt Schaub, picked up from the Atlanta Falcons, and RB AhmanGreen from the Green Bay Packers, the Texans’ offense, which was26th in the NFL last season, should be improved.

Houston is +900 to win the division.

Tennessee Titans QB Vince Young is already offto a bad start, getting benched last weekend after he violatedclub policy by leaving the team’s hotel the night before the Titans’preseason opener against the Washington Redskins (because he wantedto go home and sleep in his own bed, of all things). They hadan impressive 6-0 run late season, but their defense doesn’t looka whole lot better than the one that allowed a league-high 25points and 369.7 yards per game last season.

The Titans are +800 to win the division.


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