2006 Champs Sports Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Purdue Boilermakers (8-5) -1, o/u 52.5 vs. Maryland Terrapins (8-4) on Friday, December 29, 2006 at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Purdue Boilermakers come into this game winners of 3 of their last 4 games but they did lose their season finale to Hawaii by a score of 35-42.
The Maryland Terrapins were riding a 5 game winning streak before dropping their final 2 games to Boston College and Wake Forest.
The Boilermakers, tied for 4th in the Big 10 Conference, will be returning to the bowl season after missing out last year for the first time in 9 years.
The Terrapins, tied for 2nd in the ACC Atlantic Division, have missed the bowl season the last 2 years.
These two teams have no recent matchups and had no common opponents this season.
Purdue was 6-6 against the spread this season. Maryland was only 4-7 against the number this year despite their good overall record.
The Boilermakers are led by Junior QB Curtis Painter. He is completing 59.1% of his passes and has thrown for 3,721 yards this season. He has thrown for 21 touchdowns but does have 21 interceptions this season.
The Terrapins are led by Senior QB Sam Hollenbach who has a 61.6% completion rate and has thrown for 2,148 yards this season. He has 13 touchdowns and has thrown 11 interceptions.
Purdue averages 136 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 190 yards rushing per game. Maryland is also being outrushed by their opponents by a margin of 123-175.
The Boilermakers rank 38th in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 27.5 points per game. Maryland is ranked 78th in scoring offense by averaging 21.7 points per game.
Purdue is ranked 10th in total yards per game with 425.8 yards per game. Maryland is ranked 95th with an average of 303.2 yards per game.
The Boilermakers defense is ranked 92nd giving up an average 26.9 points per game. The Terrapins’ defense is ranked 65th giving up an average 303.2 points per game.
Purdue’s defense is ranked 114th in total yards by giving up an average of 432.7 yards per game. Maryland is ranked 89th giving up 366.9 yards per game.
Purdue averages 6.2 yards per play while giving up an average of 6.1 yards per play. Maryland averages 5.1 YPP while giving up 5.7 YPP.
The Over/Under is 5-7 in Purdue games this season, 7-4 in Maryland games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Boilermakers #54 at 73.25. Maryland ranks #47 at 75.10.
The opening line on this game was Maryland -3.5 with a total of 52. The line has switched to favoring Purdue by 1 and the total has moved up to 52.5. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing Maryland by a margin of 61%-39%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: The line movement on this game has us a bit perplexed as we saw Purdue winning this game straight up and really liked it at the opening number of Purdue +3.5. We still suggest a wager on Purdue but since they are now the favorite we suggest the wager be a bit smaller.
Purdue 28 Maryland 24