2006 Capital One Bowl Preview and Pick: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Wisconsin Badgers (11-1) +2, o/u 45.5 vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (10-3) on Monday, January 1, 2007 at 1:00 p.m. Eastern on ABC
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Wisconsin Badgers come into this game on an 8 game winning streak. Their only blemish is an early season loss to Michigan by a score of 13-27.
The Arkansas Razorbacks had a 10 game winning streak and National Title hopes until losing their last 2 games including the SEC Championship game to Florida, 28-38.
The Badgers, tied for 2nd in the Big 10, will be making their 5th straight bowl appearance.
The Razorbacks, SEC West Champions, are going bowling after missing the party the past 2 years.
The two teams have had no recent matchups and did not play any common opponents this season.
Wisconsin was 8-2-1 against the spread this season. Arkansas was 4-8 against the number this year.
The Badgers are led by Senior QB John Stocco who injured his shoulder but is expected to play. He is completing 61.5% of his passes and has thrown for 1,979 yards this season. He has thrown for 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season.
The Razorbacks use a split QB system and also occasionally slide RB McFadden into the QB slot for some run/pass options. Their QB’s threw for combined 1,746 yards, 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
Wisconsin averages 176 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 105 yards rushing per game. Arkansas is outrushing their opponents by a margin of 228-124.
The Badgers rank 21st in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 30.2 points per game. Arkansas is ranked 23rd in scoring offense by averaging 30.0 points per game.
Wisconsin is ranked 24th in total yards per game with 388.6 yards per game. Arkansas is ranked 31st with an average of 378.8 yards per game.
The Badgers defense is ranked 3rd giving up an average 11.9 points per game. The Razorbacks’ defense is ranked 30th giving up an average 18.4 points per game.
Wisconsin’s defense is ranked 3rd in total yards by giving up an average of 245.3 yards per game. Arkansas is ranked 34th giving up 307.2 yards per game.
Wisconsin averages 5.8 yards per play while giving up an average of 4.1 yards per play. Arkansas averages 6.4 YPP while giving up 4.8 YPP.
The Over/Under is 6-5 in Wisconsin games this season, 6-6 in Arkansas games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Badgers #15 at 85.71. Arkansas ranks #11 at 86.55.
The opening line on this game was Arkansas -1.5 with a total 44.5. The line has moved up to Arkansas -2 and the total has gone up to 45.5. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing Arkansas by a margin of 59%-41%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: We feel this is another situation with the wrong team being favored so we suggest a wager on the the Badgers plus the points.
Wisconsin 24 Arkansas 21