2005 Kentucky Derby Betting

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KENTUCKY DERBY CRYSTALIZING
By Brian Mulligan

After the equine smoke evaporates this weekend, racing fanswill have a much clearer view of this year’s Kentucky Derby picture.It could still be a little fuzzy, but after the Blue Grass andthe Arkansas Derby are decided the major preps will almost behistory. One thing is certain, it’s Nick Zito’s party and youbetter bring a gift for the host.

With several legit contenders, Zito is positioned to have maybea fourth stringer succeed on May 7 in the 1 ¼-mile classic.

A lot happened last week and the main man was George Steinbrenner’sBellamy Road. He registered a freakish win in the Wood Memorialromping by daylight and earning a 120 Beyer to boot. He ran fastenough to set the stakes record and tie the track record thathad stood for over 30 years and was set by 1972 Ky. Derby heroRiva Ridge.

Greeley’s Galaxy took the Illinois Derby but not sure he wasbeating anybody and the shocker of the weekend was in the SantaAnita Derby. Jeff Mullins became the only trainer in history tosaddle 3 consecutive SA Derby winners when his Buzzards Bay upsetholding off a 60-1 shot.

The Florida Derby exacta of High Fly and Noble Causeway, bothZito students, will work up to the Derby. This leaves Sun King,as the lone Zito charge to prep again and he will be highly regardedin the Blue Grass.

The Blue Grass will also tell us what Consolidator is made of.When he won the San Felipe, the Anita strip was like a highway.There will be much more speed for him to deal with on Derby Day.

Don’t look for High Limit’s A game in the Blue Grass. He hasonly run once in 5 months and Frankel will not squeeze the lemondry before hitting Kentucky.

The condition of Rockport Harbor and Bandini are a bit iffyat this point in time. Both are quality runners but Bandini missedthe Florida Derby because of a bruised foot and has been workinglightly. Rockport Harbor also has not had a smooth ride and hasopted out of the Arkansas Derby. Coming to a race of the magnitudeof the Derby, you pretty much can’t have a pimple going into thefray.

Don’t totally give up on Wilko yet. He was wide in the SA Derby,seems to be able to get the trip and he should be a generous price.

BUCKING TRENDS

They don’t make horses like they used to. Twotrends bettors should be aware of for this year’s Derby. Onlyone horse since 1947, Sunny’s Halo, won the Derby off only 2 sophomorepreps. And only once since 1956, Needles, had been off for 35days before winning the classic.

In the mid 1950s, maybe horses, and people, weretougher. From 1948 till 1958 eight of the 11 Derby winners ranjust 4 days before the zenith event. Good food for thought.

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 15 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.