NY Yankees (64-35) at Minnesota (61-39)
When: Wednesday, July 24th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: New York -109/11
Wow! That is all you can say about last night’s New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins game. If there was still an ESPN Classic station, this game would definitely be on their future schedule. The Yankees stormed back from a six-run deficit, took the lead in the eighth inning, only to see that lead given back in the bottom of the inning. Then, New York took a 12-11 lead into the bottom of the ninth before Minnesota sent it to extra innings. Didi Gregorius went 5-for-5 with seven RBI and scored the go-ahead run on Gleyber Torres’ RBI single in the 10th inning, but that isn’t even the best part of the game. The Twins loaded the bases in the bottom of the 10th when Max Kepler ripped what appeared to be a bases-clearing shot in the gap, but Aaron Hicks made a diving catch to end the game and give the Yankees a dramatic 14-12 victory to even up their three-game series. It was New York’s sixth win in eight games and extended their lead to 10 games in the AL East with the Red Sox coming up this weekend. The AL Central-leading Twins have nine homers in the series, with Miguel Sano launching a three-run blast and two-run shot on Tuesday to reach 100 in his career. Nelson Cruz and Jorge Polanco have gone deep in each game as well for a Minnesota team that has lost six of its last nine.
Pitchers: Yankees – J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.86 ERA) | Twins – Jake Odorizzi (11-4, 3.18)
J.A. Happ has been struggling to get past six innings, but managed to earn a win over Colorado last time out by striking out eight while pitching two-run ball over five innings. The lefty has a 2.87 ERA over his last three starts since allowing eight runs against Houston on June 23rd. Happ allowed two home runs in a 7-3 loss to the Twins on May 4th in 5.2 innings. He threw six scoreless innings at Minnesota last September in his first start against the Twins as a member of the Yankees.
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Jake Odorizzi has also had trouble pitching deep into games and the long ball has hurt him recently. The righty has served up six homers in his last four starts and allowed three runs over five innings of work last time out against Oakland. Odorizzi allowed just two hits while striking out eight in six scoreless innings against Happ on May 4th. Overall, he has a 7-8 record and 4.06 ERA in 17 career appearances (16 starts) versus New York.
I don’t know how you top last night’s game, but these lineups will certainly try. Both teams are rolling offensively while Happ and Odorizzi have had their struggles. I’m going to predict a bunch more homers and runs in this contest. Take the over.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 97-66 +2018 units on the season after an 11-5 run!
Pick: OVER 10.5 -120
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BETTING TRENDS:
Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 Wednesday games.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series.
Yankees are 43-14 in their last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 27-9 in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 66-25 in their last 91 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 66-25 in their last 91 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 42-16 in their last 58 games on grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 37-15 in their last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 39-17 in their last 56 games following a win.
Yankees are 57-25 in their last 82 overall.
Yankees are 37-18 in their last 55 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 8-1 in Happ’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Yankees are 7-1 in Happ’s last 8 road starts.
Yankees are 17-4 in Happ’s last 21 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 7-2 in Happ’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 15-5 in Happ’s last 20 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 12-4 in Happ’s last 16 starts.
Yankees are 10-4 in Happ’s last 14 starts on grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in Happ’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Twins are 29-11 in their last 40 games following a loss.
Twins are 17-7 in their last 24 vs. American League East.
Twins are 26-11 in their last 37 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 35-17 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Twins are 5-0 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Twins are 5-0 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Twins are 6-1 in Odorizzi’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 5-1 in Odorizzi’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
Twins are 14-3 in Odorizzi’s last 17 home starts.
Twins are 13-3 in Odorizzi’s last 16 starts.
Twins are 8-2 in Odorizzi’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Twins are 12-3 in Odorizzi’s last 15 starts on grass.
Twins are 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 6-2 in Odorizzi’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 8-3 in Odorizzi’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Twins are 5-2 in Odorizzi’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 vs. American League Central.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 38-13-2 in Yankees last 53 road games.
Over is 23-8 in Yankees last 31 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-2-1 in Yankees last 8 games following a win.
Over is 36-16-2 in Yankees last 54 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Happ’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Happ’s last 7 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1-2 in Happ’s last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 7-2 in Happ’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Happ’s last 9 starts overall.
Over is 7-3-1 in Happ’s last 11 road starts.
Over is 4-0-2 in Twins last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 7-0 in Twins last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 Wednesday games.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League East.
Under is 11-4-1 in Twins last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Twins last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 23-11-3 in Twins last 37 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Odorizzi’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Odorizzi’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
Over is 7-2 in Odorizzi’s last 9 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 10-3-1 in Odorizzi’s last 14 home starts.
Under is 6-2 in Odorizzi’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Odorizzi’s last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Odorizzi’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Odorizzi’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Yankees are 59-21 in the last 80 meetings.
Yankees are 28-11 in the last 39 meetings in Minnesota.
