NY Yankees (57-30) at Tampa Bay (51-39)
When: Sunday, July 7th, 2019
Where: Tropicana Field,
St Petersburg, FL
Time: 1:10 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: Tampa Bay -113/8.5
The Tampa Bay Rays finally snapped their long losing streak to the American League’s best on Saturday and will aim for a four-game split in the series finale Sunday versus the New York Yankees. Tampa Bay had lost the last six encounters with the Bronx Bombers including the first two in this exciting weekend set, but Travis d’Arnaud blasted a two-out walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth after New York’s Aaron Hicks tied the game with a solo dinger in the top half of the inning. The 4-3 victory snapped a three-game skid for the Rays and moved them back within 7.5 games of the Yankees in the division. New York has not dropped two in a row since the middle of June but are still assured of the best record in the American League coming into the All-Star Break. Yankee pitcher Masahiro Tanaka was named to that All-Star team on Saturday as an injury replacement. Tampa Bay, who owns the top AL Wild Card spot, will trot out All-Star right-hander Charlie Morton on Sunday while New York counters with the struggling James Paxton. The Yankees are now 9-3 in the season series despite Saturday’s setback.
Pitchers: Yankees – James Paxton (5-3, 4.09 ERA) | Rays – Charlie Morton (9-2, 2.36)
Paxton is looking to improve on his 5.12 road ERA in six starts and is coming off one of his better outings away from Yankee Stadium last time out when he limited the New York Mets to one run on eight hits and two walks in six innings at Citi Field. The Yanks and Rays have played 12 times this season but Paxton will be making his first start in the season series. He has allowed eight runs – seven earned – over 19 innings and three starts in his career against Tampa Bay.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Morton has been superb all season and is well-deserving of his All-Star selection. He’s allowed three runs or fewer in 16 of his 18 starts but one of the two came against New York on May 19th when he allowed five runs – three earned – on four hits and four walks in as many innings. He blew away the Orioles in his latest start, striking out a season-high 12 while allowing one run across seven innings to earn a win.
I’m taking the over in this one. Paxton has been shaky on the road and one of Morton’s worst efforts this season came against the Yankees. Morton’s last three starts have gone over and all three of Paxton’s starts against Tampa Bay have done the same. You won’t find a total of eight in many Yankees games, so take advantage of it when you can.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He is 89-61 +1828 units on the season after a 3-0 run!
Pick: OVER 8 -110
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BETTING TRENDS:
Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Yankees are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 47-17 in their last 64 vs. American League East.
Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 Sunday games.
Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Yankees are 49-20 in their last 69 overall.
Yankees are 76-33 in their last 109 games following a loss.
Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 6-0 in Paxton’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Yankees are 4-1 in Paxton’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Yankees are 4-1 in Paxton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 8-3 in Paxton’s last 11 starts.
Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 Sunday games.
Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Rays are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. American League East.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 19-6-1 in Yankees last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 36-13-2 in Yankees last 51 road games.
Over is 8-3-1 in Yankees last 12 on astroturf.
Over is 18-7-3 in Yankees last 28 Sunday games.
Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games following a loss.
Over is 20-8-1 in Yankees last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 35-15-2 in Yankees last 52 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 17-8 in Yankees last 25 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Paxton’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Paxton’s last 6 road starts.
Over is 5-2 in Paxton’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Paxton’s last 10 starts overall.
Over is 2-0-2 in Rays last 4 games following a win.
Over is 7-1-2 in Rays last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 Sunday games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
Over is 4-1-2 in Rays last 7 overall.
Over is 4-1-2 in Rays last 7 on astroturf.
Over is 4-1-2 in Rays last 7 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 10-4-2 in Rays last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 3-0-1 in Morton’s last 4 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Over is 3-1-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Yankees are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.
