NY Yankees (51-25) at Philadelphia (41-35)
When: Tuesday, June 26th 2018
Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: YES, NBCS Philly
Opening Odds: New York -195/7.5
Its no secret that the weakest part of the New York Yankees is their starting staff and are shopping for a top-line pitcher in order to compete with the Boston Red Sox for the division title. The Bronx Bombers got a huge lift from the youngest arm in their rotation Monday as Jonathan Loaisiga shut down the Philadelphia Phillies for five innings as the Yankees took the opener of a three-game interleague series 4-2. Closer Aroldis Chapman surrendered a run for the first time since May 30th, but still recorded his 23rd save as New York moved a half-game ahead of Boston in the American League East. The Yankees were swept over the weekend by Tampa Bay on the heels of sweeping the Seattle Mariners and will try and get rolling again against a Phillies team battling Atlanta and Washington in the NL East. Monday’s outing was the first time in nine games that Philadelphia had been held to less than four runs. The Yankees will turn to their ace Luis Severino in the second game opposite former Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta.
Pitchers: Yankees – Luis Severino (11-2, 2.24 ERA) | Phillies – Jake Arrieta (5-5, 3.42)
Severino wasn’t his sharpest last time out, but managed to record his 11th win in a 4-3 victory over the Mariners after allowing eight hits and three runs in 5.2 innings last Thursday. He’s allowed only six home runs on the season, but four of them have come in his last six outings, but is still on pace for a Cy Young-type season with 123 strikeouts in 104.2 innings. This will be Severino’s first career start against Philadelphia.
Arrieta has a sparkling May with a 0.90 ERA in five starts, but June has been a completely different story. The former Cy Young winner is 0-3 in four outings with an ERA of 7.13 and has surrendered a home run in each of those outings (five total). Arrieta has been better at home (2.08 ERA) than the road (5.05 ERA) and will be making his first start in six years against New York when he was with the Orioles.
The Phillies have a lineup that will be pretty good in a year or two, but young lineups tend to struggle when seeing a pitcher for the first time. Take last night for example. They were shut down by a rookie and now they’ll see who is arguably one of the best aces in the game right now. I also don’t see Arrieta turning things around against this New York lineup.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 -123
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague road games.
- Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 interleague games.
- Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 overall.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 17-7 in their last 24 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 27-13 in their last 40 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 6-0 in Severino’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-0 in Severino’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severino’s last 7 interleague starts.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 road starts.
- Yankees are 21-6 in Severino’s last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 38-15 in Severino’s last 53 starts.
- Yankees are 36-15 in Severino’s last 51 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
- Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games.
- Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague home games.
- Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 3-7 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts.
- Phillies are 3-7 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 interleague games.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games.
- Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Yankees last 21 on grass.
- Under is 20-5-1 in Yankees last 26 overall.
- Under is 16-5 in Yankees last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 Tuesday games.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Severino’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Severino’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Severino’s last 12 starts on grass.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Severino’s last 12 starts overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Severino’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 9-3 in Phillies last 12 overall.
- Over is 9-3 in Phillies last 12 on grass.
- Over is 14-5-3 in Phillies last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Phillies last 12 Tuesday games.
- Over is 8-3-2 in Phillies last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-2 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Yankees are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
