NY Yankees (42-18) at NY Mets (27-34)
When: Sunday, June 10th 2018
Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: NY Yankees -235/7
Things just keep getting worse for the New York Mets and now they need to snap a long losing skid to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands for their cross-town rivals – the New York Yankees. The teams will meet in the finale of their Subway Series on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball from Citi Field. The Yanks rallied from an early three-run deficit on Saturday to edge the Mets 4-3 for their fourth straight win and ninth in 10 games to stay a half-game ahead of Boston in the AL East. The Baby Bombers used the long ball to battle back, hitting three homers to account for all four runs including a tie-breaking solo shot in the eighth inning by Aaron Judge, who was in the lineup after X-rays on his sore left thumb came back negative. The Mets recorded six hits on Saturday, but half of them came in the first inning that featured homers by former Yankee Todd Frazier and Asdrubal Cabrera. The Mets have dropped eight consecutive games including all seven this month, scoring fewer than two runs in six of those. The Mets are close to getting OF Yoenis Cespedes (hip) back, as he played the second game of his rehab assignment with Double-A Binghamton on Saturday, going 2-for-2 with a pair of doubles. Yankees third baseman Miguel Andujar blasted a two-run shot on Saturday, giving him three homers and 10 RBIs in seven games this month.
Pitchers: Yankees – Luis Severino (9-1, 2.20 ERA) | Mets – Seth Lugo (1-1, 2.04)
Severino will be seeking to win his eighth consecutive decision after allowing two runs – one earned – and four hits while recording 10 strikeouts over eight innings at Detroit on Monday. Severino has made 10 starts since suffering his only loss of the season at Boston on April 10th, allowing fewer than three runs eight times in that span and three in each of the other two. He has made one start and one relief appearance against the Mets in his career, recording 14 strikeouts while giving up two unearned runs and five hits over 10.2 innings.
The Mets were supposed to counter the Yankees’ ace with Noah Syndergaard, but he’ll be unable to pitch due to swelling in his injured right index finger. Instead, Seth Lugo will make his second start of the season after working four scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs on May 31st, allowing three hits while striking out three batters. Lugo made his only career appearance against the Yankees in relief in August of 2016, when he took the loss after giving up one run on one hit and one walk in one inning.
I like taking underdogs, but there’s no logical reason to take the Mets in this contest. They are on a downward spiral that seems to be getting worse. I don’t see the Yankees having any trouble covering the runline in this one with their ace on the hill.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 -144
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 road games.
- Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 overall.
- Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 games on grass.
- Yankees are 48-23 in their last 71 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 road starts.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 11-0 in Severino’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 Sunday starts.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 6-0 in Severino’s last 6 interleague starts.
- Yankees are 26-5 in Severino’s last 31 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 20-6 in Severino’s last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 19-7 in Severino’s last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 36-15 in Severino’s last 51 starts.
- Mets are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mets are 19-40 in their last 59 during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 8-18 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League East.
- Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 home games.
- Mets are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 overall.
- Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 games on grass.
- Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Mets are 2-14 in their last 16 interleague games.
- Mets are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games.
- Mets are 8-3 in Lugo’s last 11 home starts.
- Mets are 2-6 in Lugo’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Mets are 0-5 in Lugo’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-2 in Severino’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Severino’s last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Severino’s last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Severino’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Severino’s last 9 starts overall.
- Over is 19-7 in Severino’s last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 Sunday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 interleague home games.
- Under is 37-18 in Mets last 55 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Lugo’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Lugo’s last 5 home starts.
- Over is 11-3 in Lugo’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 9-3 in Lugo’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Lugo’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-2 in Lugo’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Lugo’s last 7 starts overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
- Under is 19-9 in the last 28 meetings in New York.
