NY Yankees (57-49) at Cleveland (57-48)
When: Thursday, August 3rd 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: YES, STO
Opening Odds: Cleveland -128/8.5
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The New York Yankees’ new ace will take the mound on Thursday night at Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Indians in the opener of a huge four-game series. Gray, who was acquired from the Oakland A’s on Monday, will slot into a temporary six-man rotation for New York, which is coming off a 2-0 loss to Detroit on Wednesday. The loss took nearly eight hours to complete due to a few rain delays and dropped the Yankees back into second place behind Boston in the AL East. Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is mired in a big slump over the last few weeks, hitting just 1.64 since the All-Star Break and striking out in a franchise-record 21 consecutive games. The Indians, who lead the AL Central by 2.5 games, have dropped three in a row following a nine-game winning streak. Their game on Wednesday in Boston was rained-out, but gives the Tribe a chance to shuffle their rotation and have ace Corey Kluber the start in the series opener. Cleveland placed dominant reliever Andrew Miller (knee) on the 10-day disabled list and announced that starter Josh Tomlin could miss six weeks with a left hamstring tendon strain. Tomlin, who has a 5.38 ERA on the season, was starting to turn things around over his last few starts. Second baseman Francisco Lindor is riding a hot bat, hitting .380 during a 12-game hitting streak. New York is 20-11 in its last 31 games at Progressive Field.
Pitchers: Yankees – Sonny Gray (6-5, 3.43 ERA) | Indians – Corey Kluber (8-3, 2.90)
Gray finished his tenure in Oakland with six straight quality starts, during which he was 4-2 with a 1.37 ERA. Included in that span was a scoreless six-inning outing in a 5-0 win over Cleveland on July 14th. He is now 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in his career versus the Indians. Gray has shut down some of Cleveland’s top hitters including Edwin Encarnacion (5-for-21), Carlos Santana (2-for-18), Lindor (2-for-12) and Jose Ramirez (2-for-12).
Kluber will look to rebound from one of his worst starts of the year, giving up four runs in a no-decision at the Chicago White Sox. He struck out 12 in the game and has 161 in 114 innings this season. Kluber has been pretty good in his career against the Bronx Bombers, posting a 1.91 ERA in five career starts against them and has owned New York newcomer Todd Frazier (2-for-23, nine strikeouts).
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This should be a great pitching matchup and I expect a low-scoring game here. I’m giving the edge to the Indians as their bats woke up on Tuesday by scoring 10 runs at Fenway despite losing. I can’t see Judge breaking out of his slump against Kluber. Cleveland has won 10 of their last 11 at Progressive Field and I think they take the opener. This game won’t be the only big event going on in the state of Ohio – The Hall of Fame Game will kick-off the NFL season at 8:00 ET.
Pick: Indians -155
W/L TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
- Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
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| Cleveland |
- Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
- Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
- Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.
- Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 Thursday games.
- Indians are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 4-0 in Kluber’s last 4 Thursday starts.
- Indians are 8-1 in Kluber’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Indians are 6-1 in Kluber’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Indians are 25-9 in Kluber’s last 34 starts on grass.
- Indians are 19-7 in Kluber’s last 26 home starts.
- Indians are 25-10 in Kluber’s last 35 starts.
- Indians are 7-3 in Kluber’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 2-5 in Kluber’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 2-5 in Kluber’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
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OU TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 road games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 11-5-1 in Yankees last 17 during game 1 of a series.
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| Cleveland |
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Indians last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 Thursday games.
- Under is 11-5-1 in Indians last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kluber’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kluber’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kluber’s last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts.
- Under is 6-2 in Kluber’s last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-3 in Kluber’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 9-4 in Kluber’s last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
- Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
- Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
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