NY Yankees (59-51) at Toronto (52-59)
When: Tuesday, August 8th 2017
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: YES, Sportsnet
Opening Odds: Toronto -109/9
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If the Toronto Blue Jays want to get back into the playoff race, the next three days are the perfect opportunity to do so. The Blue Jays, who are 5.5 games behind the Kansas City Royals for the second AL Wild Card spot, will host the New York Yankees – the top WC team – in the opener of a three-game series on Tuesday night. It might not sound bad that the Jays are 5.5 back, but they have six teams in front of them and Kansas City. Toronto blew a chance at a winning road trip on Sunday when they allowed the Houston Astros to score four runs in the bottom of the ninth for a 7-6 win over the cellar-dwelling Blue Jays. Jose Bautista blasted a two-run homer on Sunday, but is batting a dreadful .149 with 13 strikeouts in his career versus Tuesday starter CC Sabathia. The Yankees managed to split a four-game road series against the Cleveland Indians over the weekend despite scoring only five runs in the first three contests. They broke-out on Sunday with eight including a three-run homer from slugger Aaron Judge, who’s still trying to regain his first half All-Star form. Judge is hitting .182 with 35 strikeouts since July 14th. He blasted a 456-foot homer against Tuesday starter J.A. Happ in their last meeting on July 4th, but the veteran lefty settled down after that and pitched Toronto to a 4-1 victory. New York outfielder Brett Gardner, who has hit safely in 17 of his last 18 games, is batting .300 with three homers versus the Blue Jays this season.
Pitchers: Yankees – CC Sabathia (9-4, 3.81 ERA) | Blue Jays – J.A. Happ (4-8, 3.92)
Sabathia leads the staff with nine wins, but has fallen off the pace in his last two starts, allowing four runs in each including three homers. He struggled in his last meeting with Toronto, allowing four runs in just 2.2 innings to take the loss on July 4th against Happ. Kendrys Morales (.348) and Justin Smoak (.304) have fared well in 23 career at-bats each versus Sabathia, who is 1-1 over three starts versus the Blue Jays this season despite yielding 11 runs on 15 hits in 13 innings.
WIN A RINGSIDE SEAT TO MAYWEATHER VS MCGREGOR
Happ followed his victory over the Yankees on July 4th by going 0-3 in four starts before a win on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox. Happ allowed one run on six hits and struck out a season-high 10 in seven innings of a 5-1 victory. He has recorded seven quality starts in his last 10 outings, but only has a 4-4 mark to show for it.
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I’m going to stick with Sabathia one more time. He’s been New York’s most consistent pitcher this season despite a couple of rough outings lately. Look for Judge to get back on track against the lefty Happ and for the Yankees to edge one out here.
Pick: Yankees +111
W/L TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 7-16 in their last 23 games on astroturf.
- Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 Tuesday games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 7-0 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathia’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 10-1 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 road starts.
- Yankees are 6-2 in Sabathia’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 14-5 in Sabathia’s last 19 starts.
- Yankees are 10-4 in Sabathia’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts on astroturf.
- Yankees are 50-22 in Sabathia’s last 72 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
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| Toronto |
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games on astroturf.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
- Blue Jays are 13-3 in Happ’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 12-3 in Happ’s last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 12-3 in Happ’s last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 11-3 in Happ’s last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 21-7 in Happ’s last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Blue Jays are 2-6 in Happ’s last 8 home starts.
- Blue Jays are 2-6 in Happ’s last 8 starts on astroturf.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Happ’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Happ’s last 5 starts.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in Happ’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 1-6 in Happ’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in Happ’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
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OU TRENDS
| NY Yankees |
- Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 Tuesday games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 road games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Yankees last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Sabathia’s last 11 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 8-1 in Sabathia’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 road starts.
- Under is 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts on astroturf.
- Under is 15-4-3 in Sabathia’s last 22 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 20-7-3 in Sabathia’s last 30 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Sabathia’s last 26 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 19-8-2 in Sabathia’s last 29 starts vs. American League East.
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| Toronto |
- Over is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 Tuesday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
- Over is 11-4-1 in Blue Jays last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 39-16-4 in Blue Jays last 59 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 9-4 in Blue Jays last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Happ’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Happ’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Happ’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Happ’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Happ’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 20-8-1 in Happ’s last 29 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 31-15-1 in Happ’s last 47 home starts.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings when Happ faces Sabathia.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in Happ’s last 8 starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Sabathia’s last 9 road starts vs. Blue Jays.
- Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Happ’s last 11 starts vs. Yankees.
- Yankees are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Toronto.
- Yankees are 2-7 in Sabathia’s last 9 starts vs. Blue Jays.
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