NY Yankees (3-3) at Houston (3-3)
When: Saturday, October 21st 2017
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Time: 8:08 ET | TV: FOX Sports 1
Opening Odds: Houston -122/8.5
Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!
It’s been a series dominated by the home team, and the New York Yankees will try and break that trend when they take on the Houston Astros in Game 7 of the American League Championship Series at Minute Maid Park on Saturday night. The Yankees were held to one run in their third straight game in Houston on Friday and the Astros bats woke up for the 7-1 victory to stay alive for one more night. Brian McCann broke out of an 0-for-20 slump with an RBI double in the fifth inning to break a scoreless tie and Jose Altuve recorded his first hit in four games moments later, delivering a two-run single as Houston improved to 5-0 at home during the playoffs. The Astros, who scored a total of five runs while losing all three games in New York earlier in the week, have won 16 of their last 18 at Minute Maid Park dating back to the regular season. Aaron Judge homered late to help the Yankees avoid being shut out following a seven-inning scoreless outing from Justin Verlander. New York likely will need to find some road offense if they want to capture its major league-best 41st pennant. With a win, New York would become the third team to eliminate 100-win clubs in the League Division Series and LCS, joining the 1998 San Diego Padres and 2001 Yankees. Since the LCS expanded to seven games in 1985, home teams are 18-7 in Game 7.
Pitchers: Yankees – CC Sabathia (1-0, 2.30 ERA) | Astros – Charlie Morton (0-1, 10.13)
CC Sabathia will come into this winner-take-all game with a 10-0 record and 1.69 ERA in 13 starts following a New York after winning Monday’s Game 3 by allowing three hits over six scoreless innings. It marked the first time a pitcher 37 years or older blanked the opposition over six innings in a postseason start since Pedro Martinez did so in 2009. It also was Sabathia’s first outing versus the Astros this season and first at home this postseason after allowing six runs – four earned – in two starts spanning 9.2 innings in Cleveland during the AL Division Series.
Charlie Morton started Game 3 against Sabathia and lasted only 3.2 innings, allowing seven runs and six hits – including a three-run homer by Todd Frazier. Morton, who is getting the start over Lance McCullers Jr., will be making only his fourth career postseason start. Morton, who went 14-7 with a 3.62 ERA in 2017, held opponents to a .217 batting average at Minute Maid Park during the regular season while going 10-3 with a 3.34 ERA.
[ad id=’36449′]
It doesn’t get much better than a Game 7. I have been proven wrong by Sabathia all season, as the big guy has come up huge for New York when it matters most. The Yankees have only one win on the road this postseason, but it was a big one in Cleveland to clinch that series. Oh by the way, Sabathia started that game also. The Yankees are 4-0 when up against elimination. The Astros are terrific at home, but I don’t think Morton is ready for this. I hear Dallas Keuchel is available out of the bullpen. New York got to him the other day. I’m taking the Yankees in a close one.
Pick: Yankees +117
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games.
- Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 14-5 in their last 19 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.
- Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 22-9 in their last 31 games on grass.
- Yankees are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 21-9 in their last 30 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 23-11 in their last 34 overall.
- Yankees are 4-11 in their last 15 League Championship games.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
- Yankees are 1-8 in their last 9 playoff road games.
- Yankees are 0-7 in their last 7 League Championship road games.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 Saturday starts.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 11-2 in Sabathia’s last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 9-2 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathia’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 13-4 in Sabathia’s last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 10-4 in Sabathia’s last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Sabathia’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 37-17 in Sabathia’s last 54 starts vs. American League West.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff home games.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 League Championship home games.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a win.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
- Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
- Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
- Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Astros are 14-6 in their last 20 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 45-20 in their last 65 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts.
- Astros are 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Astros are 5-2 in Morton’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 Saturday games.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 13-6-2 in Yankees last 21 League Championship road games.
- Under is 15-7 in Yankees last 22 games following a loss.
- Under is 8-0 in Sabathia’s last 8 Saturday starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Sabathia’s last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Sabathia’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Sabathia’s last 21 starts on grass.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Sabathia’s last 13 road starts.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3-2 in Sabathia’s last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Astros last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 9-3 in Astros last 12 games following a win.
- Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 League Championship home games.
- Over is 35-16-1 in Astros last 52 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Morton’s last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2-2 in Morton’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Houston.
- Yankees are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
