Wisconsin vs Oregon Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – 2012 Rose Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for this year’s Rose Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers and Oregon Ducks opened up at -6 in favor of the Ducks at Bovada Sportsbook on 12/12/11. As of Thursday night (12/29), the line has not moved. Bovada hasn’t released a total, but most books have it set at 71.5. Right now, 55% of the betting public is on Oregon and 77% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Ducks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Ducks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 bowl games.
Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Ducks last 6 bowl games.
Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
My Prediction: This could be one of the best Bowl games of the year. You would think this would be a matchup of Oregon’s offense versus Wisconsin’s defense, but the Badgers can score just as much as the Ducks. Wisky averages 44.6 points a game while allowing only 17 a game. QB Russell Wilson has been the difference. 31 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions. Incredible. He’s also completed 72% of his passes. In a game that I can see go back and forth, I have to put my money on the underdog. Take the 6 points and enjoy the game.