White Sox @ Tigers Preview and Pick

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Opening Line: Tigers -150

This week’s ESPN Sunday Night game takes us to Detroit, Michigan as the Tigers host the Chicago White Sox. The Tigers have given themselves some breathing room in the American League Central by taking the first three games of this series. The now lead the White Sox by 3 games and the struggling Twins by 5. Detroit has been getting some great pitching recently. In their last 10 games, starters are posting a 2.60 ERA and the bullpen has been just as good with a 2.84 ERA. The only starter struggling is tonight’s pitcher, Rick Porcello.

Porcello is 9-6 with a 4.40 ERA on the year, but has a 9.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. He’ll be opposed by Clayton Richard. Richard is 3-3 with a 5.00 ERA on the season, but he to has been terrible of late. He pitched very well against Tampa last time out holding them to 4 hits in 8 innings, but his previous 5 starts were terrible. In his only outing this year against the Tigers, Richard didn’t even make it out of the 4th inning in a 5-4 loss to the Tigers on June 8th.

This is a must win for the White Sox tonight. They don’t want to get swept by the Tigers and be four games out of first. Chicago doesn’t have a lot of things going for them heading into tonight including an 0-4 record in Game 4 of a series after a loss. I look for the Tigers to get to Richard early and often tonight and sweep the series.

Pick: Tigers -145

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Here are some other trends to consider in this game:

    • White Sox are 19-39 in their last 58 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
    • White Sox are 17-37 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • White Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 Sunday games.
    • White Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
    • White Sox are 12-39 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    • White Sox are 5-17 in their last 22 during game 4 of a series.
    • White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
    • White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
    • White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
    • White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
    • White Sox are 3-7 in Richards last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    • White Sox are 2-7 in Richards last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • White Sox are 2-7 in Richards last 9 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    • White Sox are 1-4 in Richards last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • White Sox are 1-5 in Richards last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    • Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
    • Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
    • Tigers are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
    • Tigers are 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
    • Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    • Tigers are 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
    • Tigers are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
    • Tigers are 11-4 in their last 15 Sunday games.
    • Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Tigers are 6-1 in Porcellos last 7 home starts.
    • Tigers are 6-1 in Porcellos last 7 starts as a home favorite.
    • Tigers are 10-2 in Porcellos last 12 starts on grass.
    • Tigers are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts as a favorite.
    • Tigers are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
    • Tigers are 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
    • Tigers are 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Tigers are 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
    • Tigers are 10-3 in Porcellos last 13 starts.
    • Tigers are 6-2 in Porcellos last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    • Tigers are 8-3 in Porcellos last 11 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5

 

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