West Virginia vs Baylor Betting Odds, Trends & Free Pick [2/27/17]

By
Jay Cooper
-

West Virginia (23-6, 11-5) at Baylor (23-6, 10-6)
When: Monday, February 27th 2017
Where: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPNU

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The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears might have identical records, but they are two squads who are going in different directions. Baylor was ranked as the No. 1 team in the nation back in early January, but have now lost five of their last eight games and were smoked earlier this season in Morgantown. The Bears are coming off a 72-69 loss at Iowa State on Saturday and will need to win their final two games to avoid possibly getting the five seed in next week’s Big 12 Tournament. Making things even worse for Monday night’s rematch is that starting point guard Manu Lecomte has been nursing a sprained ankle that he re-injured early in the second half of Saturday’s loss at Iowa State and is questionable for Monday night’s contest. Baylor committed 29 turnovers in the first meeting with the Mountaineers – the most in a game since 1999 and tied for the fourth-most in a game in school history. Rebounding was an issue in Saturday’s loss at Iowa State as the Bears lost that battle 37-17 and 26-2 in second-chance points. Junior forward Johnathan Motley, an All-American and Big 12 Player of the Year candidate, leads the team in scoring (17.3) and the conference in rebounding (9.8) while Lecomte (12.4) is the only other Bear averaging in double figures while also shooting 41.4% from 3-point territory.

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West Virginia comes in tied for second place in the Big 12 with Iowa State and will still play the Cyclones to close out the regular season on Friday night. The Mountaineers started their two-game Texas road trip with a narrow 61-60 win at TCU on Saturday as Daxter Miles Jr., who is averaging 8.7 points, sank the winning free throw with 4.8 seconds left after controversial foul on Horned Frog freshman point guard Jaylen Fisher. The Mountaineers, who have won five of their last six games with the lone loss coming in overtime at conference champ Kansas, have injury issues with sophomore forward Esa Ahmad, the team’s second leading scorer (11.7). Ahmad will not make the trip to Waco because of back spasms. Junior guard Jevon Carter leads the team in scoring (12.7), assists (4.1) and a conference-leading 2.8 steals per game while senior forward Nathan Adrian also is averaging in double figures (10.4) while grabbing a team-leading 6.2 rebounds per contest. West Virginia leads the nation in turnovers forced per game (21.55) and steals per game (11.0).

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I have to take the hotter team in this one. West Virginia plays pretty tough on the road especially lately and the Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite – a roll they’re not comfortable in.

Pick: West Virginia +2.5

ATS TRENDS

West Virginia
  • Mountaineers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
  • Mountaineers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Mountaineers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog.
Baylor
  • Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
  • Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
  • Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.

OU TRENDS

West Virginia
  • Over is 6-1 in Mountaineers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Mountaineers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Mountaineers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 Monday games.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Mountaineers last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Mountaineers last 13 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Mountaineers last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Mountaineers last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Mountaineers last 8 road games.
  • Over is 12-5-1 in Mountaineers last 18 overall.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Mountaineers last 11 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Mountaineers last 17 vs. Big 12.
Baylor
  • Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 home games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 8-2 in Bears last 10 vs. Big 12.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 7-2 in Bears last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 overall.
  • Over is 11-4 in Bears last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 Monday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 7-3 in Bears last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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