2007 Week 14 NFL Match Up Analysis

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Week 14 NFL Preview

December 4, 2007
NFL Betting
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COLTS (10-2, 6-4-2) at RAVENS (4-7, 1-9-1 prior to Monday)
The Colts have been OVER in 21-13-1 on the road outside their division and they’ve covered the spread 19-6-1 on the road against non-divisional rivals. The Colts are 4-12-1 ATS on the road following a win by 3pts or less.

 CHIEFS (4-8, 6-6) at BRONCOS (5-7, 3-9)
The Broncos have been OVER in 25 of 34 after a two game road trip and their 3-11 ATS at home. They’re also 4-14 as favorites. Between these two the home team is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings and 9 of 12 have been OVER. The Chiefs have covered the spread in 8 of 9 after a loss and 17-6 ATS on the road after scoring 14pts or less.

SAINTS (5-7, 4-8) at FALCONS (3-9, 6-6)
The Falcons are 4-13 as underdogs of 3 ½ to 7pts and they’ve been UNDER in 18 of 27 at home. They’ve been UNDER 8 straight after losing 3 of 4.  The Saints are 2-9 as favorites between 3 ½ to 9 ½ pts. They’ve beaten the spread 21-4 on the road against divisional rivals. The Falcons are 19-11 ATS in the last 30 meetings between these two and the underdog has won 15 of last 23 meetings.

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GIANTS (8-4, 7-5) at EAGLES (5-7 SU&ATS)
The Giants have covered the spread in 10 of 12 on the road against divisional rivals and they’ve beaten the spread 3 of 9 times against the Eagles. The Eagles have been OVER in 10 of 11 against teams with a winning record and they’ve been UNDER in 13 of 16 after allowing 25pts or more in back to back games. In their last meeting the Giants beat the Eagles as 3pts favorites. 

RAIDERS (4-8, 5-7) at PACKERS (10-2, 9-3)
The Packers are 19-11-3 ATS in December and they’ve failed to cover the spread in 11-3-1 as double digit favorites. They’re 3-0 ATS when playing teams in the AFC. The Packers have been OVER in 16 of 26 at home in December. The Raiders have been UNDER in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. They’re 15 of 20 on the road after the first month of the season. The Raiders have NOT beaten the spread in 16 of 20 in December. The Raiders have a chance at winning three straight.

RAMS (3-9 SU&ATS) at BENGALS (4-8, 4-7-1)
The Bengals are 20-13-2 ATS at home when playing teams in the NFC. The Rams have been UNDER in 7 of 11 including 4 of 5 on the road. They’ve been OVER in 16 of 24 as non-divisional underdogs. The Rams are 10-28-2 ATS on the road against non-divisional rivals.

STEELERS (9-3, 7-5) at PATRIOTS (11-0, 9-1-1 prior to Monday)
The Patriots are 37-14-2 ATS as non-divisional home favorites. The Steelers are 2-8 as road dogs and their 27-13-2 ATS after a double digit divisional win.

 CHARGERS (7-5 SU&ATS) at TITANS (7-5, 6-6)
The Titians have covered the spread 24 of 29 times after a win and they’ve been OVER in 12 of 15 as home favorites of 3pts or less. They’ve been OVER in 15 of 20 when the total’s been set between 35 ½ and 42. The Chargers have been OVER in 10 of 12 when the totals been between 35 ½ and 42. They’re 21-8 ATS after allowing 10pts or less on the road after winning 6 or 7 of 8.

BUCS (8-4 SU&ATS) at TEXANS (5-7, 4-7-1)
The Texans are 12-4-1 ATS following back to back spread losses and their 5-10-1 ATS against teams in the NFC. The Bucs have been UNDER in 16 of 23 in December as road favorites and 22 of 33 as non-conference underdogs. The Bucs have lost 18 of 21 ATS against non-divisional rivals. They’re 16 of 25 ATS on the road in December and they’ve lost 11 of 15 ATS after winning as underdogs.

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CARDS (6-6, 8-3-1) at SEAHAWKS (8-4, 7-4-1)
The Cardinals are 6-20 ATS after winning three or more games and the SU between these two teams is 14-1 ATS. The OVER has been 5 of 6 in their last six meetings and Arizona has been OVER in 13 of 17 as road dogs. The Seahawks lost to the Cards as 2 ½ road dogs and they’ve covered the spread four in a row. They are 1-9 after a loss against a road favorite. The Seahawks are 13-27 as home favorites between 3 ½ to 7pts.

BROWNS (7-5, 8-3-1) at JETS
The Browns have been OVER in 6 of 6 when the total is set between 42 ½ and 49. They’ve covered 8 of 9 on grass and 8 of 10 as favorites off a SU and ATS loss. The Jets are 22-12-2 as underdogs and their 1-6 ATS at home in December off a double digit spread win.

BEARS (5-7, 4-8) at SKINS (5-7, 4-6-2)
The Bears have been OVER in their last 16 of 21 against conference rivals. The Bears are 6-23 ATS on the road in December (1-9-2 over 5yrs). The Redskins have NOT covered the spread in 13 of 18 after the first month of the season. They will be looking to stop a five game losing streak, first time since 2001. The Redskins are UNDER in 23 of 32 against teams in the NFC North and 7 of 10 on grass.

PANTHERS (5-7 SU&ATS) at JAGUARS (8-4 SU&ATS)
The Panthers have been UNDER in 8 of 12 and they are 49-28 as road dogs. They’ve beaten the spread 19 of 26 after losing in three of their previous four games. On grass their 7 of 8 ATS. The Jags are 2-8 ATS before facing Pittsburgh. The last time the Jaguars covered the spread five times in a row was 2003. They’ve been OVER in 8 of 12 and their OVER in 19 of 24 after a divisional loss.

COWBOYS (11-1, 8-3-1) at LIONS (6-6, 5-6-1)      
The Lions are 18-7 ATS after three straight losses. They’ve been UNDER in 12 of 13 after allowing 200 RUSH YDS the previous game. The Cowboys are 8-2 as favorites this year. They’ve lost 18 of 21 on the road after beating the spread in three of their last four. They’ve been OVER in their last 19 of 28, 11 of 14 on the road and 10 of 12 as road favorites.

DOLPHINS (0-12, 4-5-3) at BILLS (6-6, 7-4-1)
The Bills are 25-8 ATS after a win by 3pts or less and 8-1 ATS when playing teams with a losing record. The Dolphins are 4-14 ATS on the road after a loss. They haven’t beaten the spread in 8 of 9 against divisional rivals and their 24 of 32 against divisional rivals in their last four games of the season. The Bills beat the Dolphins as 3pts favorites.

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