Wednesday’s MLB Baseball Free Picks & Predictions [8/12/26]

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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 8/11/26**


Philadelphia (Wheeler) at St Louis (Leahy) – 2:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Phillies are 7-0 in Wheelers last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Hot: Phillies are 5-0 in Wheelers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
Cold: Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win.
Cold: Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 9-0 in Leahys last 9 starts overall.
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Leahys last 6 home starts.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in St. Louis.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 +110


Colorado (Feltner) at Arizona (Kelly) – 3:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Hot: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rockies are 0-5 in Feltner’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Diamondbacks are 1-6 in Kelly’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rockies are 1-6 in Feltner’s last 7 Wednesday starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 Wednesday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Feltner’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Rockies last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 8-1-1 in Kelly’s last 10 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Head-to-Head
Rockies are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings in Arizona.

Pick: Rockies +154


Milwaukee (May) at San Diego (Ray) – 4:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Under is 9-2-1 in Brewers last 12 on grass.
Hot: Under is 9-2-1 in Brewers last 12 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 Wednesday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Cold: Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.

Pick: Padres +104

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Pittsburgh (Mlodzinski) at Miami (Junk) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Pirates are 5-0 in Mlodzinski’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Marlins are 0-4 in Junk’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Mlodzinski’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Junk’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 Wednesday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cold: Pirates are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Pick: Marlins -115


Chicago Cubs (Peterson) at Washington (Kent) – 6:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Cubs are 4-0 in Peterson’s last 4 starts.
Cold: Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cold: Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Nationals last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Cubs are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Pick: Nationals +147


NY Mets (Thornton) at Atlanta (Mahle) – 7:15 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Braves are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Mets are 10-28 in their last 38 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Mets are 9-21 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Mets last 8 vs. National League East.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 road games.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 on grass.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 overall.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
Mets are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Mets +136

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Baltimore (Baz) at Minnesota (Matthews) – 1:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Orioles are 0-7 in Baz’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in Baz’s last 4 starts on grass.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-0 in Twins last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 7-0 in Matthews’ last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Matthews’ last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Matthews’ last 4 home starts.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Orioles are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Pick: Orioles -107


Tampa Bay (Rasmussen) at Athletics (Perkins) – 3:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
Hot: Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Hot: Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
Cold: A’s are 0-8 in Perkins’ last 8 starts.
Cold: A’s are 0-8 in Perkins’ last 8 starts on grass.
Cold: A’s are 0-5 in Perkins’ last 5 home starts.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Rasmussen’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in A’s last 5 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 Wednesday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in A’s last 4 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in A’s last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Athletics.
Hot: Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Athletics.

Pick: A’s +1.5 +105


Cleveland (Griffin) at Detroit (Valdez) – 6:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 games on grass.
Hot: Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
Cold: Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Cold: Tigers are 0-4 in Valdez’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Cold: Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Guardians are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Hot: Guardians are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Pick: Tigers -120

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Seattle (Miller) at NY Yankees (Warren) – 7:05 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Hot: Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cold: Yankees are 0-5 in Warren’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cold: Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 games following a loss.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Warren’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.
Mariners are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in New York.
Mariners are 17-41 in the last 58 meetings.

Pick: Mariners +113


Boston (Suarez) at Toronto (Soriano) – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarez’s last 5 starts.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 Wednesday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Suarez’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Cold: Red Sox are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Cold: Red Sox are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.

Pick: Red Sox -120


Texas (Quantrill) at LA Angels (Klassen) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 14-3-1 in Rangers last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 21-5-1 in Rangers last 27 games following a loss.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Over is 10-2-3 in the last 15 meetings in Los Angeles.
Hot: Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.
Cold: Rangers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Pick: Angels +118

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Houston (King) at San Francisco (ACTION) – 3:45 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cold: Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 games following a loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 interleague home games.

Head-to-Head
Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in San Francisco.
Cold: Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco.

Pick: Giants +120


Cincinnati (Lowder) at Chicago White Sox (Castillo) – 7:40 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Reds are 1-6 in Lowder’s last 7 road starts.
Cold: White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in Lowder’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lowder’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Lowder’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games following a loss.

Head-to-Head
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
Reds are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Pick: Reds +123


Kansas City (Lynch) at LA Dodgers (Lauer) – 10:10 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in Lauer’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Dodgers are 4-0 in Lauer’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Dodgers are 8-1 in Lauer’s last 9 starts.
Cold: Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague road games.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Cold: Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Lynch IV’s last 6 interleague starts.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lynch IV’s last 5 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Lynch IV’s last 5 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games following a loss.

Head-to-Head
Cold: Royals are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cold: Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -104

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for almost 25 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.