Golden State (2-1) at Houston (1-2)
When: Monday, May 6th, 2019
Where: Toyota Center,
Houston, TX
Time: 9:30 ET | TV: TNT
Opening Odds: Houston -2/221
Even with Golden State stars Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson having shooting woes, the Houston Rockets still needed overtime on Saturday to get past the Warriors 126-121 in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal series. Houston dominated the interior and received 41 points from their star James Harden in Saturday’s victory. Curry dislocated his finger on his left hand and is still dealing with a sprained ankle he suffered in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers, but has not used that as an excuse. “It was just one of those nights. I was aggressive early, tried to get to my spots and take shots. Over the course of my 44 minutes, it wasn’t my night. “We still had a couple of chances to win down the stretch. Obviously, I’m thinking of what I can do better and elevate my game, and I’m looking forward to Monday.” Curry shot 7-of-23 and missed 7-of-9 three-pointers in Game 3 and misfired on a layup and blew an uncontested dunk down the stretch. Curry has shot 35.3 percent overall and 25.0 percent from long range in the series, while averaging just 18.3 points. The Warriors might need both Curry and Thompson to find their shot in Game 4 Monday at Toyota Center to keep Houston from evening the series. The duo are shooting a combined 28.8 percent (15-for-52) from 3-point range in the series, and are putting more pressure on Kevin Durant, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala to keep the Warriors offense going. Houston received a big boost in the form of Eric Gordon, whose play at both ends of the floor proved vital in the first round against the Utah Jazz and remains solid in this series. Gordon scored a playoff-career-high 30 points in Game 3, drilling 7-of-14 threes to keep Houston afloat until Harden stepped up down the stretch. Gordon is averaging 24.0 points on 41.2 percent 3-point shooting this series. Despite losing two of the first three games of the series, Houston has covered the spread in Games 1 and 3 and are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
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With Golden State’s shooting stars struggling in Game 3, Durant posted a game-high 46 points, Green notched his sixth career postseason triple-double (19 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) and Iguodala drained 3-of-4 three-pointers en route to 16 points. But, ultimately, if the Warriors are to thwart the Rockets, Curry must reclaim his form. Durant is averaging 39.4 points over the last seven games. The Warriors could also use a little more from the bench when others are struggling and didn’t get any of that in Game 3, recording just seven points and two assists from five different players.
Harden finished with 41 points and led the charge as Houston scored 52 points in the paint and outrebounded Golden State 55-35. PJ Tucker finished with seven points, 12 rebounds, three assists and two blocks while doing the best job on the team of slowing Durant. Center Clint Capela contributed 13 points and 11 rebounds and a terrific two-handed block on Andre Iguodala’s dunk attempt that got the crowd going. Chris Paul added 14 points on 4-of-8 shooting and turned the ball over just twice while pulling down eight rebounds.
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You can’t keep Curry and Thompson down for long and I fully expect them to be focused and ready to go in Game 4. The Warriors will also make the proper adjustments in defending the glass better. Look for a tight, back-and-forth contest with Golden State pulling it out in the end.
Pick: Warriors +1.5
Monday’s Free Sports Picks – 12-4 Run in NHL Playoffs!
Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Warriors are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 Monday games.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
Rockets are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Rockets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Rockets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Rockets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.
Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Rockets are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Warriors last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.
Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 18-6-2 in Rockets last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 3-1-1 in Rockets last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 9-3 in Rockets last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 8-3-1 in Rockets last 12 home games.
Under is 13-5-1 in Rockets last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 17-7-1 in Rockets last 25 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-8-1 in Rockets last 28 overall.
Under is 16-7 in Rockets last 23 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 16-7-1 in Rockets last 24 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-6-1 in Rockets last 20 Monday games.
Under is 38-18 in Rockets last 56 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Houston.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
