Warriors vs Blazers Preview, Odds, & Free Pick – [2/14/18]

Golden State (44-13) at Portland (31-26)
When: Wednesday, February 14th 2018
Where: Moda Center, Portland, OR
Time: 10:35 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Golden State -7/225.5

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Portland Trail Blazers’ point guard Damian Lillard is doing all he can to push his team up the Western Conference standings, but he’s going to need more help from the players around him, especially on Wednesday night when they host the Golden State Warriors. The Blazers suffered their first home loss since late December when they fell to the Utah Jazz on Sunday and have dropped 11 straight to the Warriors, including a first-round sweep in last season’s playoffs. Lillard followed up a 50-point effort in a win at Sacramento with 39 points against the Jazz on Sunday but could not get enough help as the team fell for the fourth time in six games overall and snapped a nine-game home winning streak. Lillard is averaging 25.8 points while shooting 92.1% from the free-throw line, just ahead of Golden State’s Stephen Curry (91.5), who will captain Lillard in Sunday’s All-Star Game. Curry and his teammates got the chance to call some plays on Monday, when Warriors head coach Steve Kerr let his players run the huddles in a 129-83 domination of the Phoenix Suns. It didn’t sit well with some of the Phoenix players, but Kerr had this plan in his mind going into the contest. “I told them the other night after the last game (on Saturday) that we were going to do it,” Kerr told reporters. “It’s their team.” Golden State took the first meeting this season 111-104 in Oakland as 8.5-point favorites.

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While the Golden State players enjoyed the experiment of drawing up some plays on Monday, the Suns players felt the move showed a lack of respect, something Kerr did not intend. “I told (Phoenix coach Jay Triano) afterward that it had nothing to do with being disrespectful,” Kerr told reporters.” The win was the third straight for the Warriors, who won each of the three by at least 17 points. Golden State easily beat the Suns even without All-Star forward Draymond Green, who is day-to-day with a finger injury. Backup shooting guard Patrick McCaw left Monday’s game after suffering a sprained right wrist and is questionable for Wednesday. The Warriors still hold a one-game lead over the Houston Rockets in the West standings heading into Tuesday’s action.

The Warriors have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings.

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Portland shooting guard CJ McCollum scored 22 points in Sunday’s loss but committed five of his team’s 13 turnovers as the Blazers continue to be a two-man guard-led team. McCollum totaled 12 turnovers in the last three games to bump his season average to 1.9. Portland had just one other player (Shabazz Napier – 10 points) score in double-figures in Sunday’s loss as the bench totaled just 22 points. Center Jusuf Nurkic (back, hip) left Sunday’s game and is day-to-day. Portland currently sits in sixth place in the West standings, but are only a game from being bumped-out to ninth. They will start the second half of the season in Utah next Thursday.

NBA GAME LINES

Portland is really struggling right now and the Warriors own this team, winning 11 straight. This doesn’t seem like a lot of points to lay with the defending champions.

Pick: Warriors -6.5

  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Warriors are 42-19-3 ATS in their last 64 Wednesday games.
  • Warriors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Warriors are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 10-1 in Trail Blazers last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 13-3 in Trail Blazers last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 10-3 in Trail Blazers last 13 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Over is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Portland.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
  • Over is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
  • Warriors are 37-18 ATS in the last 55 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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