Virginia (23-2, 12-1) at Miami FL (18-6, 7-5)
When: Tuesday, February 13th 2018
Where: Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL
Time: 9:00 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Virginia -5.5/119
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The Virginia Cavaliers suffered a rare and unexpected loss over the weekend, but it didn’t hurt them in the overall scheme of things as they are not only the No. 1 team in the latest AP Poll for the first time since 1982, they are No. 1 overall in the selection committee’s minds as well. Virginia will try and rebound from that home loss to rival Virginia Tech when they visit the Miami Hurricanes on Tuesday night in Coral Gables. Miami is also coming off an upset loss when they couldn’t hold a late second half lead in a 72-70 setback at Boston College on Saturday. Miami, who was missing coach Jim Larranaga due to illness, went scoreless in the final 6:17 and BC’s Ky Bowman nailed a pair of free throws with 2.9 seconds remaining to give the Eagles the win. Virginia was able to rally from a seven-point halftime deficit to force overtime, but Virginia Tech’s Kenny Blackshear Jr. scored on a putback with 5.8 seconds left to snap Virginia’s 15-game winning streak and 16-game home winning streak. Virginia is looking to avenge a 54-48 overtime loss at home to Miami last season and trails the all-time series 12-9.
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The Cavaliers’ top-ranked defense, which has yet to allow an ACC opponent more than 64 points in a game this season, was not the issue against Virginia Tech. The poor shooting that usually rears its ugly head in the NCAA Tournament, shot a season-low 34.4% from the field (21-for-61) and 28.9% from 3-point land (11-for-38). Leading scorer Kyle Guy (15.3 points per game) had an especially tough night, shooting 5-of-21 from the field and 3-of-14 from beyond the arc, and will need a bounce-back performance against a pretty good Miami defense.
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Miami will be looking to rebound from a poor defensive outing on Saturday, when the Hurricanes gave up a season-high 43 first-half points and allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or higher for just the fifth time in 2017-18. On the season, Miami is allowing just 66.6 points per game, good for fifth in the ACC. Offensively, freshman guard Lonnie Walker IV had an eight-game double-digit scoring streak snapped against the Eagles, but is still averaging 16.7 points per game over his last nine games and is the Hurricanes’ top shooting threat. Miami will again be without second-leading scorer Bruce Brown Jr. after the starting guard had surgery for a foot injury on Thursday. He also leads the team in rebounds, steals and assists.
Miami is going to need all the offense it can muster when they go up against an angry Virginia team. Without Brown in the lineup, I just don’t see that happening. The Cavaliers will bounce back offensively in this one and play their usual stout defense.
Pick: Virginia -5.5
- Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cavaliers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Cavaliers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.
- Cavaliers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up loss.
- Cavaliers are 45-22-2 ATS in their last 69 games overall.
- Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Hurricanes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss.
- Hurricanes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Hurricanes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 35-14-2 in Cavaliers last 51 road games.
- Under is 37-15-1 in Cavaliers last 53 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Under is 36-15-2 in Cavaliers last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 38-16 in Cavaliers last 54 Tuesday games.
- Under is 49-21-1 in Cavaliers last 71 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 34-15-2 in Cavaliers last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 35-17-1 in Cavaliers last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Hurricanes last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.
- Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 19-7 in Hurricanes last 26 Tuesday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
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