Minnesota (8-2) at Detroit (6-4)
When: Thursday, November 23rd 2017
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Time: 12:30 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Pickem/45
Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet NFL Football odds and props!
We have three Thanksgiving Day games on tap, and the best of the bunch is probably the first one between the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions from Ford Field. The Lions have already beaten the Vikings 14-7 back on October 1st, but Minnesota has not lost since, reeling off six-straight wins and have a chance to take a commanding division lead. The Lions have won three consecutive games overall and are 3-0 against NFC North-foes this season. Case Keenum completed a season-low 53.3% of his passes in the first meeting with Detroit, but has averaged 68.0% during the team’s winning streak – including 71.1% (27 of 38 for 280 yards) in Sunday’s 24-7 victory over the Los Angeles Rams. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has multiple touchdown passes in three straight games and seven of 10 this season, however, was held in check against Minnesota as he threw for just 209 yards without a touchdown pass last month. Detroit is going after its third sweep of the season series against Minnesota in four years, and would get within one-game of first while holding the tiebreaker.
Wide receiver Adam Thielen leads the conference with 916 receiving yards and his 16 catches of at least 20 yards has him tied with Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown for the NFL lead. Thielen has 19 catches for 387 yards in the last three games and has scored a touchdown in three straight weeks when he hauled in a 65-yarder against the Rams. Running back Latavius Murray scored twice last week while matching his season best with 6.3 yards per carry. Murray has four touchdowns in his last four games and faces a Detroit defense that allowed 222 yards rushing on Sunday and 423 over the last two weeks. The Vikings’ defense ranks second in rushing yards allowed per game (77.7), fourth in points (17.2) and fifth in yards per game (290.5) after holding the highest scoring team in the league to seven points last week.
[ad id=’36391′]
Detroit’s 28th-ranked rushing attack probably won’t get much going against the vaunted Vikings defense, but Ameer Abdullah has three touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving) in the last three games after scoring just once in his previous seven games. He did have a fourth quarter touchdown against the Vikings in the first meeting. Marvin Jones Jr., who had just two catches in that game, hauled in his team-leading sixth touchdown reception of the season and fourth in his last five games during Sunday’s 27-24 victory over Chicago. The Detroit defense, which ranks 23rd overall (354.5), received two sacks from defensive end Anthony Zettel in the first matchup against the Vikings.
This Minnesota team is for real, but the Lions are sneaky-good, especially at home. The short week tends to favor the home teams and the Vikings are coming off a big win over the Rams. I can see Stafford going-off in this one for a 300+ yard day. I’ll take the points in this one.
Pick: Lions +3
- Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vikings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12.
- Vikings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Vikings are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win.
- Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
- Vikings are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vikings are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Vikings are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games overall.
- Vikings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
- Vikings are 15-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Vikings are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games on fieldturf.
- Vikings are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
- Lions are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
- Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.
- Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Lions are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 12.
- Lions are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Vikings last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in Week 12.
- Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 vs. NFC.
- Under is 18-5 in Vikings last 23 vs. NFC North.
- Under is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 20-7 in Vikings last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Vikings last 11 games in November.
- Under is 25-12 in Vikings last 37 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. NFC.
- Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 Thursday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Lions last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 23-11 in Lions last 34 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 29-14 in Lions last 43 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.
