VCU vs Florida State Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – March 25th, 2011

Virginia Commonwealth (26-11) vs Florida State (23-10)
When: Friday, March 25th, 2011
Where: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
Time: 9:55 ET

The point spread for Friday’s Sweet 16 contest between the VCU Rams and Florida State Seminoles opened up at -3.5 on Sunday evening in favor of the 10th seeded Seminoles at Bovada and the total was set at 133. The spread has not moved at all as of Thursday afternoon and the total has been bet down to 131. So far, 69% of the betting public is on the Rams. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Atlantic Coast.

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.

Seminoles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Seminoles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 neutral site games as an underdog.

Under is 8-3 in Rams last 11 games as an underdog.

Under is 4-1 in Seminoles last 5 games as a favorite.

Under is 24-6-2 in Seminoles last 32 neutral site games.

My Prediction: It’s hard to believe that we have a 10 versus 11 in the Sweet 16, but that’s just the way this year’s tournament is going. VCU won 3 games in 5 days last week to get here and they won each game rather convincingly. The last was an 18-point win against Purdue. They have a nice balance of offense and defense. They will have their hands full with a very physical Florida State team that completely shut down Notre Dame’s offense. VCU is not afraid of anyone right now and if George Mason, also out of the CAA, made it to the Final Four a few years back, why can’t VCU? This will be close throughout, but I think VCU pulls away late and advances. Take the points.

VCU +3.5