Butler vs VCU Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 Final Four Semifinals

Butler (27-9) vs VCU (28-11)
When: Saturday, April 2nd, 2011
Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas
Time: 6:05 ET

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The point spread for Saturday’s Final Four Semifinal game between the Butler Bulldogs and Virginia Commonwealth Rams opened up at -2 in Butler’s favor right after VCU’s upset of Kansas on Sunday at Online sportsbook.eu and the total was set at 129.5. As of Thursday night the line has inched up to 2.5 and the total is all the way up to 133. So far, 65% of the betting public is on VCU and 53% are on the under. Here are the latest trends for this game:

Rams are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.

Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Bulldogs are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games.

Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 neutral site games as an underdog.

Under is 7-3 in Rams last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

Under is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 overall.

Over is 14-6 in Bulldogs last 20 neutral site games as a favorite.

My Prediction: The first game in tonight’s Final Four pits two teams that noboby expected to be here. One could argue that VCU has been the most dominant team in the tournament, but the Final Four is a different animal. Butler brings a boat load of experience back from last year’s Championship run losing to Duke in the final. Butler’s defense will clamp down on VCU’s motion offense and will once again play for a National Championship.

Butler -2.5