Minnesota (22-18) at Baltimore (25-17)
When: Monday, May 22nd 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FSN North, MASN
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The top home team in the majors will get a test from one of the better road teams in the league when the Baltimore Orioles host the Minnesota Twins on Monday night to open a three-game set. Baltimore had won eight in a row at Camden Yards until yesterday’s 3-1 setback to the Toronto Blue Jays, but their 15-4 mark at home is tops in the league. Adam Jones smashed his 124th homer at Camden Yards in Sunday’s game to tie Rafael Palmeiro for the most in the history of the ballpark, but Baltimore was done in by a season-high three errors and fell for the seventh time in 10 games overall. The Twins have made themselves at home in opposing ballparks this year with wins in nine of their last 11 road games and an 11-5 record on the season. Brian Dozier recorded two hits and scored a run in each outing of Sunday’s doubleheader split against Kansas City and owns a .318 batting average against Monday starter Ubaldo Jimenez. With Minnesota playing two doubleheaders in a four-day stretch, the team is expected to recall right-hander Kyle Gibson from Triple-A Rochester to make the start on Monday. Baltimore DH Mark Trumbo has multi-hit games in three straight contests and four of his last six, while the Twins Miguel Sano has a five-game hitting streak, collecting four RBIs during Sunday’s doubleheader.
Pitchers: Twins – Kyle Gibson (0-4, 8.20 ERA) | Orioles – Ubaldo Jimenez (1-2, 6.52)
Gibson allowed six homers and 13 walks in 26.1 innings before earning a demotion to Triple-A earlier in the month. Gibson was taken deep once and issued five walks in five innings to take the loss at Baltimore on April 6th, 2016 before settling for a no-decision against the Orioles in another meeting in July. Gibson has gotten the better of Jones (2-for-14), although J.J. Hardy (5-for-9) and Chris Davis (4-for-11) have hit him well.
Jimenez let up two homers for the second straight start and third time in four outings on Wednesday in a 5-4 loss at Detroit. Jimenez allowed five runs in five innings and has surrendered fewer than three in only one of his seven starts this season. Jimenez owns a 5-3 career mark with a 2.49 ERA in 11 appearances (10 starts) against Minnesota, including retiring Eddie Rosario in all eight at-bats – five via strikeout.
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I don’t trust either of these pitchers, but Gibson has been one of the worst this season in the majors. Look for the Orioles bats to get the better of him tonight and Jimenez will do just enough to get the victory.
Pick: Orioles -128
W/L TRENDS
| Minnesota |
- Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
- Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 17-36 in their last 53 vs. American League East.
- Twins are 13-39 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Twins are 7-3 in Gibsons last 10 road starts.
- Twins are 6-13 in Gibsons last 19 starts vs. American League East.
- Twins are 17-37 in Gibsons last 54 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 2-5 in Gibsons last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Twins are 6-18 in Gibsons last 24 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts.
- Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 Monday starts.
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| Baltimore |
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 55-21 in their last 76 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 70-34 in their last 104 home games.
- Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 27-6 in Jimenezs last 33 home starts.
- Orioles are 4-1 in Jimenezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-1 in Jimenezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 7-2 in Jimenezs last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 10-3 in Jimenezs last 13 starts.
- Orioles are 8-3 in Jimenezs last 11 starts on grass.
- Orioles are 7-3 in Jimenezs last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 4-9 in Jimenezs last 13 starts vs. American League Central.
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OU TRENDS
| Minnesota |
- Under is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 Monday games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 19-6-1 in Twins last 26 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 11-4-1 in Twins last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Gibsons last 7 Monday starts.
- Over is 13-3-2 in Gibsons last 18 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-3-2 in Gibsons last 16 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Gibsons last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Gibsons last 9 road starts.
- Over is 9-3-1 in Gibsons last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
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| Baltimore |
- Over is 9-2-1 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 24-7-1 in Orioles last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 38-14-2 in Orioles last 54 home games.
- Under is 26-10-1 in Orioles last 37 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Orioles last 21 Monday games.
- Over is 13-3 in Jimenezs last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 13-3 in Jimenezs last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Jimenezs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 5-2 in Jimenezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Jimenezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Jimenezs last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Jimenezs last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Jimenezs last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 11-5 in Jimenezs last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jimenezs last 4 starts vs. Twins.
- Under is 4-1 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Orioles.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
- Twins are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
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