Minnesota (18-14) at Cleveland (18-16)
When: Saturday, May 13th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FSN North, SportsTime Ohio
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The Minnesota Twins look to continue their early season success when they look to win a series from the defending American League champion Cleveland Indians on Saturday afternoon. Minnesota, who started 8-24 after 32 games last season, are 18-14 in 2017 and have sole possession of first place in the AL Central – with Cleveland a game behind. Solid pitching and Miguel Sano’s 10th home run of the season gave the Twins a 1-0 win in Friday night’s opener. The Indians, who earned a three-game sweep at Minnesota last month, managed just three hits Friday as they lost for the third time in four games to fall into second place in the division. Michael Brantley recorded two of Cleveland’s three hits after missing the previous three games with an ankle injury while teammate Yan Gomes had the other and is 9-for-21 in his last seven games. Cleveland 3B Jose Ramirez went 0-for-4 on Friday to end a 10-game home hitting streak and drop his average at Progressive Field to .417 this season. Indians reliever Andrew Miller has not allowed a run in his first 14 appearances of the season, the longest such streak for the team since Paul Shuey (15) in 2002.
Pitchers: Twins – Jose Berrios (2016: 3-7, 8.02 ERA) | Indians – Mike Clevinger (1-0, 0.00)
Jose Berrios will be making his 2017 debut after a tough rookie season in 2016. He allowed 74 hits (12 homers) and walked 35 in 58.1 innings, and he has been sharp at Triple-A Rochester in 2017. The 2012 first round pick has a 3-0 record with a 1.13 ERA in six starts while recording 39 strikeouts and just eight walks in 39.2 innings – allowing two earned runs combined in his last three outings. Carlos Santana went 3-for-6 with a homer last year versus Berrios, who was 1-2 with a 7.82 ERA against the Indians.
Mike Clevinger is making just his second start and was terrific in his season debut while subbing for injured Corey Kluber, allowing just one hit and four walks with five strikeouts over 5.1 innings to win at Kansas City. Clevinger made 17 appearances (10 starts) last season and struggled with control at times, issuing 29 walks in 53 innings. Sano and Brian Dozier each homered among two hits last year against Clevinger, who was 0-0 with a 3.24 ERA in two starts versus Minnesota in 2016.
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Despite Berrios’ great start in Triple-A this season and Clevinger’s solid first outing, I don’t trust either of them. Look for a lot of base runners via the walk and ultimately a high scoring affair.
Pick: OVER 9 -115
W/L TRENDS
| Minnesota |
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
- Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Twins are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 14-37 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 7-20 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 1-4 in Berrios’ last 5 road starts.
- Twins are 1-5 in Berrios’ last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Twins are 1-7 in Berrios’ last 8 starts on grass.
- Twins are 1-8 in Berrios’ last 9 starts.
- Twins are 0-7 in Berrios’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Cleveland |
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
- Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Indians are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 15-7 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 52-25 in their last 77 home games.
- Indians are 1-4 in Clevinger’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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OU TRENDS
| Minnesota |
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Twins last 11 overall.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Twins last 11 on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 Saturday games.
- Under is 8-2 in Twins last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Twins last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 34-16-4 in Twins last 54 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 9-3-2 in Berrios’ last 14 starts overall.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Berrios’ last 9 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 8-3-2 in Berrios’ last 13 starts on grass.
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| Cleveland |
- Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 11-1-1 in Indians last 13 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Indians last 27 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 home games.
- Over is 57-25-3 in Indians last 85 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 33-15-3 in Indians last 51 overall.
- Over is 17-8 in Indians last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Clevinger’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Clevinger’s last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Clevinger’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Cleveland.
- Twins are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
- Twins are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
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