Minnesota (32-16) at LA Angels (22-26)
When: Thursday, May 23rd, 2019
Where: Angel Stadium,
Anaheim, California
Time: 4:07 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Minnesota -105/9.5
***THIS MATCHUP WAS PPD WEDNESDAY, BUT THE SAME PITCHERS ARE GOING TODAY AND OUR PICK STILL HOLDS***
The Los Angeles Angels are struggling to score runs lately and are falling further and further behind in the AL West, while the surging Minnesota Twins are putting distance between themselves and the rest of the AL Central. The Twins will go for the three-game sweep on Wednesday night in Anaheim – a game that can be seen on MLB Network. The Angels built an early 3-0 lead on Tuesday and rode that to the sixth inning behind starter Trevor Cahill, but the Twins got to the L.A. bullpen and rallied for an 8-3 victory – their seventh in the last eight games overall and have beaten the Angels five of the last six meetings. Marwin Gonzalez homered and drove in three runs while Jorge Polanco and Eddie Rosario added two RBIs apiece as the Twins improved to 17-8 away from home and have built a 6.5-game lead over the Cleveland Indians. Rookie Luis Arraez collected two more hits including his first career homer and has gone 7-for-12 with two walks over his first four major-league games. Mike Trout belted his 11th homer of the season in Tuesday’s loss but Kole Calhoun is 0-for-8 in the series and 0-for-11 with seven strikeouts over his last three games. Shortstop David Fletcher went 3-for-3 on Tuesday to improve his batting average to .303.
Pitchers: Twins – Martin Perez (6-1, 2.89 ERA) | Angels – Matt Harvey (2-3, 6.35)
Martin Perez is making a strong case to be on the American League All-Star team by winning six of his seven decisions this season and also allowing one run or fewer in five of his seven outings. Perez is coming off a win over the Seattle Mariners last time out after surrendering just one run and five hits over 6.2 innings while posting a season-high 103 pitches. He is 4-5 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 career appearances (13 starts) against the Angels but this will be his first against them as a member of the Twins.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Matt Harvey has allowed just two runs in each of his last two outings, but walks have prevented him from getting past the fifth inning in both starts. He limited Kansas City to two runs and four hits over five innings, but walked four and threw 91 pitches. He has failed to work past the fifth inning in six of his last eight starts. Harvey faced the Twins back in 2013 as a member of the Mets and earned the win after giving up one run and two hits over eight innings.
This Twins team is on a roll right now and the Angels are in a funk. Perez has been one of the underrated pitchers in the American League this season, while Harvey has just been bad. Chances are, the Angels will have to use their bullpen earlier than they want and that didn’t work out well last night. Take the better team, the better pitcher, and the Twins 17-8 road record to the bank with this generous line.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 65-41 +1842 units on the season after a 15-3 run!
Pick: Twins -112
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 15-1 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.
Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 Wednesday games.
Twins are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Twins are 38-16 in their last 54 overall.
Twins are 14-6 in their last 20 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 38-17 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 35-16 in their last 51 games on grass.
Twins are 43-20 in their last 63 vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 21-45 in their last 66 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Twins are 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Twins are 5-1 in Perez’s last 6 starts.
Twins are 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts on grass.
Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Angels are 8-20 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Angels are 3-10 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Angels are 1-4 in Harvey’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games following a win.
Under is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 vs. American League West.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Perez’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 Wednesday games.
Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 10-3-1 in Angels last 14 games following a loss.
Under is 6-2-3 in Angels last 11 overall.
Under is 6-2-3 in Angels last 11 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 home games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League Central.
Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-7-1 in Angels last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 34-15-3 in Angels last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
